Kamil Majchrzak vs Pablo Carreno BustaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Kamil Majchrzak and Pablo Carreno Busta have met 4 times since 2015; Kamil Majchrzak leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Mohammedia in 2015 on clay. On clay courts Majchrzak leads 3–0. Across all meetings Majchrzak has taken 6 sets to Busta's 5. Their most recent meeting: Kamil Majchrzak won at Madrid Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Majchrzak | Carreno Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kamil Majchrzak | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 14/21 | 57% | 23/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 10/20 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 17/41 | 45% | 27/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 7/18 | 47% | 18/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 86% | 19/22 | 57% | 12/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 14/30 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 69% | 18/26 | 89% | 31/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 54% | 14/26 | 66% | 23/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Majchrzak 1, Carreno Busta 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Majchrzak
🤖 Servebot
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 767 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 12, 2025
Madrid Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jan 14, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 20, 2024
Poznan Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 9, 2015
Mohammedia
C Clay · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Majchrzak | Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Kamil Majchrzak | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 10 or more | 24% | 4/17 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Majchrzak | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–7 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.20 | 2.29 |
| ROI % | +34.3% | +0.8% |
| Units P/L | +5.83u | +0.07u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Majchrzak | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Majchrzak has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Busta's 50%).
| Opponent | Majchrzak | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Valentin Royer | W 64 75 | L 61 57 26 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | L 61 26 36 | L 63 57 57 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 63 75 75 | L 26 16 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 57 67 | W 63 76 63 |
| Felix Gill | W 63 63 | W 46 63 62 |
| Pedro Martinez | W 64 64 | W 64 46 64 |
| Quentin Halys | L 67 16 | L 64 57 36 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 46 63 61 | W 46 63 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Benjamin Bonzi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Christopher O'Connell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Gael Monfils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Taylor Fritz
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Tommy Paul
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Zachary Svajda
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Alejandro Tabilo
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Jiri Lehecka
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Andrey Rublev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Tomas Machac
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Vilius Gaubas
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Matej Dodig
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Rafael Jodar
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–65 matches
| Metric | Majchrzak | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 65% |
| Sets won | 51% | 60% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Majchrzak | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Majchrzak | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 3 | 0 |
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