Jurij Rodionov vs Sho ShimabukuroPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐นJurij Rodionov
#143 ยท 27 yrs ยท L
3 meetings ยท sets 4โ3

๐ฏ๐ตSho Shimabukuro
#87 ยท 29 yrs ยท R
63Jurij Rodionov and Sho Shimabukuro have met 3 times since 2024; Jurij Rodionov leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at Seoul Challenger in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Rodionov leads 2โ0. Across all meetings Rodionov has taken 4 sets to Shimabukuro's 3. Their most recent meeting: Sho Shimabukuro won at BOSS OPEN (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rodionov | Shimabukuro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jurij Rodionov | Sho Shimabukuro | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 27/40 | 70% | 30/43 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 10/28 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 23/68 | 32% | 22/68 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 20/45 | 51% | 19/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 16/22 | 57% | 16/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 12/26 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 33/38 | 87% | 39/45 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 27/38 | 67% | 30/45 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rodionov 1, Shimabukuro 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rodionov
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Shimabukuro
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 7, 2026
BOSS OPEN
G Grass ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Nov 15, 2024
Kobe Challenger
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 30, 2024
Seoul Challenger
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rodionov | Shimabukuro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jurij Rodionov | Sho Shimabukuro | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 5 or more | 60% | 9/15 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 27% | 4/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Rodionov | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9โ7 | 7โ8 |
| Avg odds | 1.59 | 2.30 |
| ROI % | -16.8% | -9.9% |
| Units P/L | -2.68u | -1.48u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rodionov | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | 1,024 mi ยท 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Shimabukuro has a higher win rate against shared opponents (88% vs Rodionov's 63%).
| Opponent | Rodionov | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Oliver Crawford | W 64 64 | W 63 36 75 |
| Colton Smith | W 62 76 | W 76 75 |
| Elias Ymer | L 46 63 26 | W 63 63 |
| Shintaro Mochizuki | W 64 75 | W 76 64 |
| Yuta Shimizu | W 26 75 64 | W 63 60 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | L 46 60 36 | L 26 16 |
| Chris Rodesch | L 46 36 | W 76 76 |
| Garrett Johns | W 46 76 64 | W 62 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Quebec City Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 18
Jamie Mackenzie
Bonn Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Niels McDonald
Bonn Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29
Pedro Boscardin Dias
Bonn Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 27
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท 2nd Round
Jul 22
Joel Schwaerzler
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท 1st Round
Jul 20
Clement Tabur
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad ยท 1st Round
Jul 13
Mathys Erhard
Milan Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Miomir Kecmanovic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 1st Round
Aug 23
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Marin Cilic
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos ยท 1st Round
Jul 29
Jaime Faria
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Frances Tiafoe
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle ยท 2nd Round
Jun 17
Tallon Griekspoor
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle ยท 1st Round
Jun 16
Ben Shelton
Boss Open - Stuttgart ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 69โ69 matches
| Metric | Rodionov | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 62% |
| Sets won | 56% | 59% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rodionov | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rodionov | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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