Jurij Rodionov vs Sho ShimabukuroPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐นJurij Rodionov
#140 ยท 27 yrs ยท L
4w3 meetings ยท sets 4โ3

๐ฏ๐ตSho Shimabukuro
#109 ยท 29 yrs ยท R
3Jurij Rodionov and Sho Shimabukuro have met 3 times since 2024; Jurij Rodionov leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at Seoul Challenger in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Rodionov leads 2โ0. Across all meetings Rodionov has taken 4 sets to Shimabukuro's 3. Their most recent meeting: Sho Shimabukuro won at BOSS OPEN (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rodionov | Shimabukuro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jurij Rodionov | Sho Shimabukuro | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 30/42 | 67% | 29/43 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 10/25 | 38% | 11/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 22/67 | 35% | 25/72 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 22/42 | 51% | 21/41 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 15/22 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 14/24 | 65% | 15/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 35/40 | 86% | 38/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 30/40 | 66% | 29/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rodionov 1, Shimabukuro 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rodionov
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Shimabukuro
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 7, 2026
BOSS OPEN
G Grass ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Nov 15, 2024
Kobe Challenger
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 30, 2024
Seoul Challenger
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rodionov | Shimabukuro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jurij Rodionov | Sho Shimabukuro | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 10 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 15 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Rodionov | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11โ4 | 4โ9 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 2.31 |
| ROI % | +22.6% | -58.3% |
| Units P/L | +3.39u | -7.58u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rodionov | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 2 |
| Events | โ | 3 |
| Matches | โ | 3 |
| Distance | โ | 2,283 mi ยท 3,674 km |
| Route | โ | CHN โ JPN โ CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Shimabukuro has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs Rodionov's 44%).
| Opponent | Rodionov | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Rinderknech | L 67 26 36 | L 76 26 67 26 |
| Colton Smith | W 62 76 | W 76 75 |
| Elias Ymer | L 46 63 26 | W 63 63 |
| Shintaro Mochizuki | W 64 75 | W 76 64 |
| Yuta Shimizu | W 26 75 64 | W 63 60 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | L 46 60 36 | L 26 16 |
| Hugo Grenier | W | W 46 63 62 |
| Zachary Svajda | L 16 46 | W |
| Chris Rodesch | L 46 36 | W 76 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zizou Bergs
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, AUT-BEL ยท Rubber 4
Sep 19
Gauthier Onclin
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, AUT-BEL ยท Rubber 1
Sep 18
Daniel Masur
Cassis Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Sep 9
Matisse Bobichon
Cassis Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 8
Jakub Mensik
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 31
Jacob Fearnley
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Frederico Ferreira Silva
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Miomir Kecmanovic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round
Oct 7
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou ยท 1st Round
Sep 24
Anton Shepp
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NZL-JPN 1-3 ยท Rubber 4
Sep 20
James Watt
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NZL-JPN 1-3 ยท Rubber 2
Sep 19
Arthur Rinderknech
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 30
Miomir Kecmanovic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 1st Round
Aug 23
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 70โ74 matches
| Metric | Rodionov | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 58% |
| Sets won | 59% | 56% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rodionov | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rodionov | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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