Jurij Rodionov vs Luca CastelnuovoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jurij Rodionov and Luca Castelnuovo have met 1 time since 2026; Jurij Rodionov leads 1–0. Across all meetings Rodionov has taken 2 sets to Castelnuovo's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jurij Rodionov won at BOSS OPEN (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rodionov | Castelnuovo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jurij Rodionov | Luca Castelnuovo | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 30/42 | 83% | 24/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 10/25 | 33% | 8/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 22/67 | 25% | 13/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 22/42 | 63% | 15/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 15/22 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 14/24 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 35/40 | 90% | 26/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 30/40 | 83% | 24/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rodionov 1, Castelnuovo 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rodionov
💥 Big Hitter
Castelnuovo
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Jurij Rodionov and Luca Castelnuovo are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 6, 2026
BOSS OPEN
G Grass · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rodionov | Castelnuovo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jurij Rodionov | Luca Castelnuovo | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 5 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 10 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 50% | 7/14 |
| 15 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 21% | 3/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rodionov | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–4 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 2.55 |
| ROI % | +22.6% | +45.9% |
| Units P/L | +3.39u | +6.43u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rodionov | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 765 mi · 1,231 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rodionov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Castelnuovo's 50%).
| Opponent | Rodionov | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| Elias Ymer | L 46 63 26 | L 67 46 |
| JiSung Nam | W 26 76 62 | W 64 64 |
| Oliver Crawford | W 64 64 | W 16 63 76 |
| Maks Kasnikowski | W 62 76 | L 36 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zizou Bergs
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, AUT-BEL · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Gauthier Onclin
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, AUT-BEL · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Daniel Masur
Cassis Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Matisse Bobichon
Cassis Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Jakub Mensik
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jacob Fearnley
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Frederico Ferreira Silva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Akira Santillan
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Pavel Kotov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Elias Ymer
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Omar Jasika
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Ilya Ivashka
Shanghai Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 12
Ji Sung Nam
Shanghai Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Tung-Lin Wu
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–70 matches
| Metric | Rodionov | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 55% |
| Sets won | 59% | 55% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rodionov | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rodionov | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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