Jurij Rodionov vs Luca CastelnuovoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jurij Rodionov and Luca Castelnuovo have met 1 time since 2026; Jurij Rodionov leads 1–0. Across all meetings Rodionov has taken 2 sets to Castelnuovo's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jurij Rodionov won at BOSS OPEN (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rodionov | Castelnuovo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jurij Rodionov | Luca Castelnuovo | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 27/40 | 81% | 29/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 10/28 | 32% | 7/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 23/68 | 24% | 14/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 20/45 | 67% | 18/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 16/22 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 12/26 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 33/38 | 92% | 33/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 27/38 | 81% | 29/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rodionov 1, Castelnuovo 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rodionov
💥 Big Hitter
Castelnuovo
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Jurij Rodionov and Luca Castelnuovo are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 6, 2026
BOSS OPEN
G Grass · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rodionov | Castelnuovo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jurij Rodionov | Luca Castelnuovo | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 60% | 9/15 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rodionov | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 2–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.59 | 3.03 |
| ROI % | -16.8% | -57.9% |
| Units P/L | -2.68u | -4.63u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rodionov | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | CAN | TPE |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rodionov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Castelnuovo's 50%).
| Opponent | Rodionov | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| Oliver Crawford | W 64 64 | W 16 63 76 |
| Maks Kasnikowski | W 62 76 | L 36 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Jamie Mackenzie
Bonn Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Niels McDonald
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Pedro Boscardin Dias
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 27
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Joel Schwaerzler
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 20
Clement Tabur
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 13
Mathys Erhard
Milan Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 30
Kuan-Shou Chen
M25 Taipei · Semifinals
Aug 29
Yanki Erel
M25 Taipei · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Hiromasa Koyama
M25 Taipei · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Moerani Bouzige
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 26
Antoine Ghibaudo
Pozoblanco Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Max Basing
Nottingham 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Nottingham 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Gabriel Ghetu
Brasov challenger
Jun 28
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–69 matches
| Metric | Rodionov | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 62% |
| Sets won | 56% | 60% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rodionov | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rodionov | Castelnuovo |
|---|---|---|
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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