Juncheng Shang vs Kei NishikoriPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Juncheng Shang and Kei Nishikori have met 3 times since 2023; Kei Nishikori leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Truist Atlanta Open - Atlanta in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Nishikori leads 2–1. Across all meetings Shang has taken 3 sets to Nishikori's 4. Their most recent meeting: Kei Nishikori won at Citi Open - Washington (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shang | Nishikori | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Juncheng Shang | Kei Nishikori | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 4/7 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 4/9 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 44% | 7/16 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 30% | 3/10 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 2/6 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 7/10 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 40% | 4/10 | 57% | 4/7 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shang 1, Nishikori 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shang
🎯 Baseliner
Nishikori
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
Both Juncheng Shang and Kei Nishikori are 🎯 Baseliner types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 606 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 28, 2026
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 19, 2024
Chengdu Open - Chengdu
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 27, 2023
Truist Atlanta Open - Atlanta
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shang | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–3 | 1–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.12 | 3.62 |
| ROI % | +10.0% | +10.5% |
| Units P/L | +0.50u | +0.21u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shang | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lorenzo Sonego
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Luciano Darderi
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Andrey Rublev
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 2
Kei Nishikori
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Daniil Medvedev
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai · 1st Round
Feb 24
Daniil Medvedev
Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha · 1st Round
Feb 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
Australian Open - Melbourne · 2nd Round
Jan 22
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Juncheng Shang
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Jack Kennedy
Savannah Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 22
Colton Smith
Savannah Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 20
Yibing Wu
Sarasota Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 9
Nicolas Kicker
Sarasota Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 7
Clement Tabur
Cherbourg Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 9
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Thionville Challenger · 2nd Round
Mar 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–18 matches
| Metric | Shang | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 57% |
| Sets won | 46% | 54% |
| Games won | 49% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shang | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shang | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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