Juncheng Shang vs Kei NishikoriPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Juncheng Shang and Kei Nishikori have met 3 times since 2023; Kei Nishikori leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Truist Atlanta Open - Atlanta in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Nishikori leads 2–1. Across all meetings Shang has taken 3 sets to Nishikori's 4. Their most recent meeting: Kei Nishikori won at Citi Open - Washington (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shang | Nishikori | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Juncheng Shang | Kei Nishikori | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 3/5 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 2/8 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 4/13 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 3/8 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 20% | 1/5 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 2/4 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 4/6 | 82% | 9/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 3/6 | 45% | 5/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shang 1, Nishikori 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shang
💥 Big Hitter
Nishikori
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,017 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 28, 2026
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 19, 2024
Chengdu Open - Chengdu
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 27, 2023
Truist Atlanta Open - Atlanta
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shang | Nishikori | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Juncheng Shang | Kei Nishikori | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 5 or more | 44% | 4/9 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 10 or more | 11% | 1/9 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shang | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–6 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.66 | 2.70 |
| ROI % | -20.8% | -15.7% |
| Units P/L | -1.87u | -1.41u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shang | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 1 |
| Distance | 947 mi · 1,524 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN | JPN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Shang and Nishikori posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Shang | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Marco Trungelliti | L 60 67 61 36 46 | L 64 57 36 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 64 64 | W 64 16 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Zverev
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Sebastian Baez
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Marco Trungelliti
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Lorenzo Sonego
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Luciano Darderi
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Andrey Rublev
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 2
Frances Tiafoe
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rei Sakamoto
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Michael Antonius
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Sebastian Ofner
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Francisco Comesana
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Michael Zheng
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 16–21 matches
| Metric | Shang | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 38% | 52% |
| Sets won | 40% | 50% |
| Games won | 47% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shang | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shang | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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