Jule Niemeier vs Maria Lourdes CarlePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇩🇪Jule Niemeier
#405 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
Title2 meetings · sets 2–3
🇦🇷Maria Lourdes Carle
#219 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
5wJule Niemeier and Maria Lourdes Carle have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Parma Ladies Open - Parma in 2024 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Niemeier has taken 2 sets to Carle's 3. Their most recent meeting: Maria Lourdes Carle won at MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Niemeier | Lourdes Carle | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jule Niemeier | Maria Lourdes Carle | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 8/13 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 8/19 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 13/32 | 40% | 17/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 7/19 | 23% | 3/13 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 6/10 | 79% | 11/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 1/3 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 59% | 10/17 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 47% | 8/17 | 55% | 12/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Niemeier 0, Lourdes Carle 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Niemeier
🪃 Counterpuncher
Carle
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 60% vs 🧱 The Wall across 2,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jule Niemeier.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 21, 2026
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg
C Clay · 1st Round
May 14, 2024
Parma Ladies Open - Parma
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Niemeier | Carle | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jule Niemeier | Maria Lourdes Carle | ||
| 1 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 33% | 4/12 |
| 3 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Niemeier | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 5–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 2.33 |
| ROI % | -17.6% | +29.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.93u | +2.64u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Niemeier | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | KAZ → ESP | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Niemeier has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Carle's 0%).
| Opponent | Niemeier | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| Anastasiia Firman | W 60 60 | L 36 26 |
| Teodora Kostovic | L 64 57 26 | L 46 26 |
| Alessandra Mazzola | W 16 63 63 | L 36 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tessa Johanna Brockmann
W50 Oldenzaal · 1st Round
Aug 25
Irina Balus
W50 Knokke-Heist · Final
Aug 2
Sarah Van Emst
W50 Knokke-Heist · Semifinals
Aug 1
Daria Yesypchuk
W50 Knokke-Heist · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Anastasiia Firman
W50 Knokke-Heist · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Sandra Samir
W50 Knokke-Heist · 1st Round
Jul 29
Maria Lourdes Carle
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 21
Angela Fita Boluda
W75 Olomouc · 1st Round
Jul 14
Emma Lene
W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas · 1st Round
Jul 28
Anhelina Kalinina
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Jule Niemeier
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 21
Marina Bassols Ribera
Generali Open Ladies - Kitzbuhel · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Barbora Palicova
Generali Open Ladies - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Kathinka Von Deichmann
Generali Open Ladies - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 14
Anna Blinkova
Grand Est Open 88 - Contrexeville · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Laura Pigossi
Grand Est Open 88 - Contrexeville · 1st Round
Jul 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 32–43 matches
| Metric | Niemeier | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 41% | 47% |
| Sets won | 44% | 48% |
| Games won | 49% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Niemeier | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 125 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Niemeier | Carle |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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