Maria Lourdes Carle vs Victoria Jimenez KasintsevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇷Maria Lourdes Carle
#238 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 5–5
🇦🇩Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
#211 · 20 yrs · Left-Handed
3wMaria Lourdes Carle and Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva have met 4 times since 2021; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Montevideo Open - Uruguay in 2021 on clay. On clay courts they are level 2–2. Across all meetings Carle has taken 5 sets to Kasintseva's 5. Their most recent meeting: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva won at Montreux Nestle Open - Montreux (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Lourdes Carle | Jimenez Kasintseva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Maria Lourdes Carle | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 48% | 12/25 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 13/30 | 35% | 9/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 47% | 26/55 | 39% | 16/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 20% | 4/20 | 27% | 4/15 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 12/16 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 4/9 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 16/20 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 12/20 | 50% | 8/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Lourdes Carle 1, Jimenez Kasintseva 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carle
⚔️ The Gladiator
Kasintseva
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The ⚔️ The Gladiator archetype wins about 66% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,675 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Maria Lourdes Carle.
The Gladiator players often use physical intensity and balanced game to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 3, 2024
Montreux Nestle Open - Montreux
C Clay · 1st Round
Apr 3, 2024
Open Internacional Femeni Solgirones - La Bisbal D'Emporda
C Clay · 2nd Round
Nov 18, 2022
Argentina Open - Buenos Aires
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Nov 18, 2021
Montevideo Open - Uruguay
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carle | Kasintseva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Maria Lourdes Carle | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | ||
| 1 or more | 50% | 8/16 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 3 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carle | Kasintseva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–7 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.65 | 1.93 |
| ROI % | -41.0% | -42.7% |
| Units P/L | -5.32u | -2.99u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carle | Kasintseva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | — | 124 mi · 199 km |
| Route | ESP → SRB → UKR | GEO → EGY |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kasintseva has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Carle's 67%).
| Opponent | Carle | Kasintseva |
|---|---|---|
| Marina Bassols Ribera | L 26 16 | W 60 26 63 |
| Jessica Pieri | W 06 61 61 | W 62 64 |
| Katarina Jokic | W 62 61 | W 62 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
W50 Lexington · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Valeriya Strakhova
W50 Lexington · 1st Round
Oct 7
Nuria Brancaccio
Tolentino Open - Tolentino · 1st Round
Sep 22
Ekaterine Gorgodze
Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana · 1st Round
Sep 15
Rositsa Dencheva
ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Eva Vedder
ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Gina Feistel
ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya · 1st Round
Sep 8
Federica Urgesi
W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Naiktha Bains
Eupago Porto Open - Porto · 1st Round
Sep 22
Francisca Jorge
Ladies Open - Caldas da Rainha · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Katherine Sebov
Ladies Open - Caldas da Rainha · 1st Round
Sep 15
Francisca Jorge
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Alycia Parks
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Marina Bassols Ribera
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Tamara Korpatsch
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–55 matches
| Metric | Carle | Kasintseva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 37% |
| Sets won | 46% | 40% |
| Games won | 50% | 46% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carle | Kasintseva |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 125 | 2 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carle | Kasintseva |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 2 |
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