Juan Sebastian Osorio vs Matias SotoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Juan Sebastian Osorio and Matias Soto have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Quito Challenger in 2026 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Osorio has taken 3 sets to Soto's 3. Their most recent meeting: Matias Soto won at Bogota Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sebastian Osorio | Soto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Juan Sebastian Osorio | Matias Soto | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 10/22 | 68% | 26/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 7/19 | 19% | 5/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 19/41 | 27% | 17/64 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 3/7 | 62% | 18/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 87% | 13/15 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 6/15 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 14/17 | 89% | 32/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 10/17 | 72% | 26/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sebastian Osorio 0, Soto 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Osorio
⚙️ Grinder
Soto
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,208 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 7, 2026
Bogota Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Jul 1, 2026
Quito Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Osorio | Soto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Juan Sebastian Osorio | Matias Soto | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 89% | 16/18 |
| 3 or more | 54% | 7/13 | 67% | 12/18 |
| 5 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 56% | 10/18 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 6% | 1/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Osorio | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–4 | 11–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.92 | 1.78 |
| ROI % | +65.9% | -15.0% |
| Units P/L | +6.59u | -2.85u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Osorio | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | — | 198 mi · 319 km |
| Route | BRA | CZE → GER |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Soto has a higher win rate against shared opponents (88% vs Osorio's 63%).
| Opponent | Osorio | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Estevez | W 46 64 64 | L 46 26 |
| Rafael Tosetto | W 60 57 64 | W 63 64 |
| Cristian Felipe Sanchez Rojas | W 63 63 | W 75 75 |
| Peter Bertran | W 26 76 62 | W 76 60 |
| Mwendwa Mbithi | W 75 76 | W 16 64 76 |
| Santiago De La Fuente | L 46 16 | W 62 26 75 |
| Daniel Salazar | L 26 46 | W 75 61 |
| Carlos Maria Zarate | L 36 46 | W 64 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Maximo Zeitune
M25 Londrina · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Juan Estevez
M25 Londrina · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Tosetto
M25 Londrina · 1st Round
Aug 4
Wilson Leite
M15 Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity
M15 Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Jul 28
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
M25 Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Jul 21
Matias Soto
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Hernan Casanova
Quito Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 3
Marvin Moeller
Augsburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Oleksii Krutykh
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Rudolf Molleker
Prague Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Felipe Meligeni Alves
M25 Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Rafael Tosetto
M25 Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Gabriel Tumasonis
M25 Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Jul 22
Nicolas Mejia
Bogota Challenger · Final
Jul 12
Lorenzo Claverie
Bogotá 5 challenger
Jul 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–64 matches
| Metric | Osorio | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 59% |
| Sets won | 50% | 56% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Osorio | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Osorio | Soto |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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