Juan Bautista Otegui vs Valerio AboianPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐ทJuan Bautista Otegui
#1560 ยท 27 yrs ยท R
1 meeting ยท sets 1โ2
๐ฆ๐ทValerio Aboian
#347 ยท 24 yrs ยท L
3Juan Bautista Otegui and Valerio Aboian have met 1 time since 2026; Valerio Aboian leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Otegui has taken 1 sets to Aboian's 2. Their most recent meeting: Valerio Aboian won at AAT Challenger Edicion TCA (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bautista Otegui | Aboian | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Juan Bautista Otegui | Valerio Aboian | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 8/8 | 63% | 33/52 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 3/11 | 29% | 10/35 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 16% | 3/19 | 33% | 29/87 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/1 | 47% | 20/43 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 2/3 | 58% | 18/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 1/3 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 8/10 | 90% | 43/48 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 8/10 | 69% | 33/48 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bautista Otegui 0, Aboian 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Otegui
๐งฑ The Wall
Aboian
๐ The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The ๐ The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs ๐งฑ The Wall across 174 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Valerio Aboian.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 12, 2026
AAT Challenger Edicion TCA
C Clay ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Otegui | Aboian | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Juan Bautista Otegui | Valerio Aboian | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 3/3 | 91% | 19/21 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 1/3 | 67% | 14/21 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 43% | 9/21 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 5% | 1/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Otegui | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0โ2 | 13โ9 |
| Avg odds | 2.79 | 2.19 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | +10.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.00u | +2.36u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Otegui | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 1 |
| Events | โ | 1 |
| Matches | โ | 4 |
| Distance | โ | 0 mi ยท 0 km |
| Route | โ | ARG |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Aboian has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Otegui's 33%).
| Opponent | Otegui | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | W 62 61 | W 75 26 61 |
| Carlos Maria Zarate | L 26 57 | W 64 61 |
| Tomas Martinez | L 57 26 | W 63 36 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arjun Rathi
M15 Monastir ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Maksim Tikhomirov
M15 Monastir ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Parv Patel
M15 Monastir ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Isaac Nortey
M15 Monastir ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Christian Henkel
M15 Monastir ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Leonel Cesar Castro
M15 Asuncion ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Nicolas Zanellato
M15 Asuncion ยท 2nd Round
Aug 12
Alex Santino Nuรฑez Vera
M15 Asuncion ยท 1st Round
Aug 11
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Antofagasta Challenger ยท 1st Round
Oct 5
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Buenos Aires Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Sep 24
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Buenos Aires Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 22
Matias Franco Descotte
Buenos Aires Challenger ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Julian Cundom
Buenos Aires Challenger ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Pedro Martinez
Genoa Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Andrea Pellegrino
Genoa Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Sep 10
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Genoa Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 8
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 19โ87 matches
| Metric | Otegui | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 42% | 60% |
| Sets won | 46% | 56% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Otegui | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Otegui | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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