Jozef Kovalik vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇸🇰Jozef Kovalik
#1390 · 33 yrs · R
11w6 meetings · sets 11–5
🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#258 · 33 yrs · R
5wJozef Kovalik and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 6 times since 2015; Jozef Kovalik leads 5–1. Their first meeting came at Mestre in 2015 on clay. On clay courts Kovalik leads 4–1. Kovalik has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Kovalik has taken 11 sets to Baena's 5. Their most recent meeting: Jozef Kovalik won at Bad Waltersdorf Challenger (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kovalik | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jozef Kovalik | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 2/4 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 2/5 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 44% | 4/9 | 43% | 20/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 1/3 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 29% | 2/7 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 2/3 | 83% | 20/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 2/3 | 58% | 14/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kovalik 2, Carballes Baena 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kovalik
⚙️ Grinder
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 708 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Sep 18, 2023
Bad Waltersdorf Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 3, 2019
Barcelona
C Clay · Round of 16
Jul 3, 2017
Wimbledon
G Grass · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 27, 2017
Sao Paulo
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Oct 9, 2015
Mohammedia
C Clay · Semifinals
Jun 5, 2015
Mestre
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kovalik | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–1 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.96 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | -20.0% | -54.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.40u | -3.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 27
Gabriele Piraino
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 26
Max Schoenhaus
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Gonzalo Villanueva
Trieste Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 5
Dimitar Kuzmanov
M25 Samobor · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Piotr Galus
M25 Samobor · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Javier Barranco Cosano
M25 Samobor · 1st Round
Jun 16
Andrej Martin
Kosice Challenger · 1st Round
May 26
Alexander Ritschard
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Pedro Vives Marcos
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Jacob Fearnley
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 9–47 matches
| Metric | Kovalik | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 51% |
| Sets won | 45% | 51% |
| Games won | 49% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kovalik | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 3 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kovalik | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 4 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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