Jozef Kovalik vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇸🇰Jozef Kovalik
#875 · 33 yrs · R
7w6 meetings · sets 11–5
🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#209 · 33 yrs · R
5wJozef Kovalik and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 6 times since 2015; Jozef Kovalik leads 5–1. Their first meeting came at Mestre in 2015 on clay. On clay courts Kovalik leads 4–1. Kovalik has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Kovalik has taken 11 sets to Baena's 5. Their most recent meeting: Jozef Kovalik won at Bad Waltersdorf Challenger (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kovalik | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jozef Kovalik | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 8/11 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 63% | 5/8 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 8/19 | 43% | 20/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 70% | 7/10 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 3/9 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 9/11 | 85% | 22/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 8/11 | 58% | 15/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kovalik 2, Carballes Baena 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kovalik
⚙️ Grinder
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,208 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Sep 18, 2023
Bad Waltersdorf Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 3, 2019
Barcelona
C Clay · Round of 16
Jul 3, 2017
Wimbledon
G Grass · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 27, 2017
Sao Paulo
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Oct 9, 2015
Mohammedia
C Clay · Semifinals
Jun 5, 2015
Mestre
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kovalik | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–1 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.69 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | 0.0% | -20.3% |
| Units P/L | 0.00u | -2.84u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Kovalik and Baena posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Kovalik | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Dennis Novak | W 61 36 61 | W 63 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Max Schoenhaus
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Gonzalo Villanueva
Trieste challenger
Jul 5
Dimitar Kuzmanov
Futures 2026
Jun 19
Dimitar Kuzmanov
M25 Samobor · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Piotr Galus
M25 Samobor · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Javier Barranco Cosano
M25 Samobor · 1st Round
Jun 16
Javier Barranco Cosano
Futures 2026
Jun 16
Andrej Martin
Kosice Challenger · 1st Round
May 26
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Mackenzie McDonald
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Mark Ceban
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Sebastian Ofner
Parma Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Stefano Travaglia
Parma Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Miguel Damas
Parma Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–47 matches
| Metric | Kovalik | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 55% |
| Sets won | 59% | 54% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kovalik | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 3 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kovalik | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 4 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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