Jordan Thompson vs Pablo Carreno BustaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jordan Thompson and Pablo Carreno Busta have met 3 times since 2021; Pablo Carreno Busta leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona in 2021 on clay. Busta has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Thompson has taken 1 sets to Busta's 6. Their most recent meeting: Pablo Carreno Busta won at Davis Cup, Group B, Valencia (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Thompson | Carreno Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jordan Thompson | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 4/4 | 53% | 18/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 0% | 0/1 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 0% | 0/5 | 46% | 24/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 80% | 4/5 | 48% | 14/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 59% | 13/22 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 2/2 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 4/4 | 89% | 24/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 100% | 4/4 | 67% | 18/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Thompson 0, Carreno Busta 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Thompson
🤖 Servebot
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 1,115 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jordan Thompson.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 15, 2024
Davis Cup, Group B, Valencia
H Hard · Rubber 1
Jun 24, 2021
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Apr 21, 2021
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Thompson | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 6–7 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.41 |
| ROI % | - | -16.8% |
| Units P/L | - | -2.18u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Thompson | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 6 |
| Distance | — | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Australian Open - Melbourne · 2nd Round
Jan 21
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round
Jan 19
Jurij Rodionov
Noumea Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jan 8
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
Noumea Challenger · 2nd Round
Jan 7
Emile Hudd
Noumea Challenger · 1st Round
Jan 6
Erik Arutiunian
Sioux Falls Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 22
Michael Mmoh
Sioux Falls Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 20
Dan Added
Roanne Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 8
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Alejandro Tabilo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Mariano Navone
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Adrian Mannarino
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yi Zhou
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Jiri Lehecka
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 7–58 matches
| Metric | Thompson | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 71% | 62% |
| Sets won | 67% | 58% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Thompson | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Thompson | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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