Joel Schwaerzler vs Lucas PoullainPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Joel Schwaerzler and Lucas Poullain have met 1 time since 2026; Joel Schwaerzler leads 1–0. Across all meetings Schwaerzler has taken 2 sets to Poullain's 0. Their most recent meeting: Joel Schwaerzler won at Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Schwaerzler | Poullain | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Joel Schwaerzler | Lucas Poullain | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 17/33 | 69% | 29/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 11/28 | 23% | 6/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 44% | 27/61 | 28% | 19/68 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 12/36 | 59% | 26/44 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 13/25 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 65% | 22/34 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 26/31 | 91% | 32/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 55% | 17/31 | 83% | 29/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Schwaerzler 1, Poullain 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Schwaerzler
💥 Big Hitter
Poullain
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 1,349 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Joel Schwaerzler.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 2, 2026
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Schwaerzler | Poullain | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Joel Schwaerzler | Lucas Poullain | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 20/21 | 90% | 17/19 |
| 3 or more | 86% | 18/21 | 53% | 10/19 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 12/21 | 11% | 2/19 |
| 10 or more | 5% | 1/21 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Schwaerzler | Poullain |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–9 | 13–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.72 | 2.17 |
| ROI % | -2.8% | +40.6% |
| Units P/L | -0.59u | +7.71u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Schwaerzler | Poullain |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,324 mi · 2,131 km | 98 mi · 158 km |
| Route | BUL → FRA | FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Schwaerzler and Poullain posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Schwaerzler | Poullain |
|---|---|---|
| Clement Chidekh | W 61 75 | L 36 46 |
| Max Basing | W 63 67 64 | W 60 76 |
| Kenta Miyoshi | L 26 57 | W 67 61 64 |
| Vadym Ursu | W 76 64 | W 76 62 |
| Moise Kouame | L 36 46 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jack Pinnington Jones
Villena Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Felix Balshaw
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 3
Lucas Poullain
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Harry Wendelken
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Alberto Barroso Campos
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Maxime Chazal
Plovdiv 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Luca Potenza
Manacor Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Gijs Brouwer
Roanne Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Joel Schwaerzler
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Remy Bertola
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Mark Lajal
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Diogo Morais
M25 Setubal · 1st Round
Sep 23
Clement Chidekh
Rennes Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
David Jorda Sanchis
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Moez Echargui
Cassis Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–68 matches
| Metric | Schwaerzler | Poullain |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 62% |
| Sets won | 52% | 58% |
| Games won | 50% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Schwaerzler | Poullain |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Schwaerzler | Poullain |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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