Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Maxwell ExstedPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇾Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
#342 · 21 yrs · R
1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇺🇸Maxwell Exsted
#891 · 19 yrs · R
5wJoaquin Aguilar Cardozo and Maxwell Exsted have met 1 time since 2026; Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo leads 1–0. Across all meetings Cardozo has taken 2 sets to Exsted's 0. Their most recent meeting: Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo won at M15 Asuncion (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Aguilar Cardozo | Exsted | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | Maxwell Exsted | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 39/52 | 50% | 12/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 4/14 | 14% | 3/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 17/66 | 33% | 15/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 73% | 32/44 | 31% | 8/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 9/15 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 25% | 3/12 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 96% | 47/49 | 86% | 18/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 39/49 | 57% | 12/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Aguilar Cardozo 1, Exsted 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cardozo
⚔️ The Gladiator
Exsted
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
Both Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo and Maxwell Exsted are ⚔️ The Gladiator types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 1,370 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 21, 2026
M15 Asuncion
C Clay · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cardozo | Exsted | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | Maxwell Exsted | ||
| 1 or more | 60% | 15/25 | 46% | 5/11 |
| 3 or more | 4% | 1/25 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cardozo | Exsted |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 23–2 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.35 | 2.17 |
| ROI % | +22.2% | -0.1% |
| Units P/L | +5.56u | -0.01u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cardozo | Exsted |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ARG | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cardozo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Exsted's 80%).
| Opponent | Cardozo | Exsted |
|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Villalon | W 62 75 | W 46 61 62 |
| Santiago De La Fuente | W 61 67 60 | W 62 63 |
| Benjamin Torrealba | W 61 75 | W 60 75 |
| Rafael Tosetto | W 61 61 | L 63 36 46 |
| Shrriman Narayanan | W 60 60 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lautaro Midon
Antofagasta Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Nicolas Villalon
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
Antofagasta Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Santiago De La Fuente
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Alex Barrena
Buenos Aires Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 26
Juan Pablo Varillas
Buenos Aires Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Francisco Comesana
Buenos Aires Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Carlos Maria Zarate
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Luca Staeheli
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
M15 Asuncion · Semifinals
Aug 21
Santiago De La Fuente
M15 Asuncion · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Benjamin Torrealba
M15 Asuncion · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Santiago Giamichelle
M15 Asuncion · 1st Round
Aug 18
Rafael Tosetto
M15 Asuncion · Quarterfinals
Aug 13
Nicolas Villalon
M15 Asuncion · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Tomas Martinez
M15 Asuncion · 1st Round
Aug 11
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–66 matches
| Metric | Cardozo | Exsted |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 79% | 53% |
| Sets won | 72% | 49% |
| Games won | 61% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cardozo | Exsted |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cardozo | Exsted |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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