Joao Sousa vs Kei NishikoriPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Joao Sousa and Kei Nishikori have met 4 times since 2016; Kei Nishikori leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Tokyo in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Nishikori leads 3–0. Nishikori has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Sousa has taken 1 sets to Nishikori's 8. Their most recent meeting: Kei Nishikori won at ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sousa | Nishikori | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Joao Sousa | Kei Nishikori | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 50% | 4/8 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 50% | 3/6 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 50% | 7/14 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 44% | 4/9 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 80% | 4/5 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 50% | 2/4 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 86% | 6/7 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 57% | 4/7 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sousa 0, Nishikori 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sousa
💥 Big Hitter
Nishikori
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 7, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 128
Jan 11, 2019
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Feb 13, 2017
Buenos Aires
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Oct 6, 2016
Tokyo
H Hard · Round of 16
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sousa | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 1–1 |
| Avg odds | - | 3.62 |
| ROI % | - | +10.5% |
| Units P/L | - | +0.21u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Estoril · Round of 32
Apr 3
Alejandro Moro Canas
Girona · Round of 16
Mar 28
Felix Gill
Girona · Round of 32
Mar 27
Vilius Gaubas
Girona · 2nd Round Qualifying
Mar 25
Martin Damm
Oeiras 2 · Quarterfinals
Jan 11
Lorenzo Giustino
Oeiras 2 · Round of 16
Jan 10
Samuel Vincent Ruggeri
Oeiras 2 · Round of 32
Jan 9
Maks Kasnikowski
Oeiras 1 · Quarterfinals
Jan 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Juncheng Shang
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Jack Kennedy
Savannah Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 22
Colton Smith
Savannah Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 20
Yibing Wu
Sarasota Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 9
Nicolas Kicker
Sarasota Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 7
Clement Tabur
Cherbourg Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 9
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Thionville Challenger · 2nd Round
Mar 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–14 matches
| Metric | Sousa | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 57% |
| Sets won | - | 54% |
| Games won | - | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sousa | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sousa | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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