Joao Fonseca vs Mariano NavonePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ง๐ทJoao Fonseca
#26 ยท 20 yrs ยท R
3 meetings ยท sets 5โ4

๐ฆ๐ทMariano Navone
#48 ยท 25 yrs ยท R
3Joao Fonseca and Mariano Navone have met 3 times since 2022; Joao Fonseca leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at Sao Leopoldo in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Fonseca leads 2โ1. Across all meetings Fonseca has taken 5 sets to Navone's 4. Their most recent meeting: Joao Fonseca won at Argentina Open - Buenos Aires (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fonseca | Navone | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Joao Fonseca | Mariano Navone | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 15/20 | 68% | 23/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 58% | 7/12 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 12/32 | 34% | 20/58 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 13/23 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 6/9 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 10/16 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 18/20 | 81% | 26/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 15/20 | 72% | 23/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fonseca 0, Navone 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fonseca
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Navone
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐ช Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 14, 2025
Argentina Open - Buenos Aires
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Feb 23, 2024
Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Nov 17, 2022
Sao Leopoldo
C Clay ยท Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fonseca | Navone | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Joao Fonseca | Mariano Navone | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 5/9 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 10 or more | 22% | 2/9 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Fonseca | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5โ4 | 5โ7 |
| Avg odds | 1.47 | 2.18 |
| ROI % | -21.7% | -17.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.95u | -2.13u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fonseca | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | 712 mi ยท 1,146 km | 1,024 mi ยท 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN โ USA | CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Fonseca has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Navone's 60%).
| Opponent | Fonseca | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 64 76 | W 57 76 75 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 76 64 | W 63 76 |
| Casper Ruud | W 76 63 | W 75 62 |
| Matteo Berrettini | W 63 62 | W 63 67 63 |
| Flavio Cobolli | W 64 63 | L 61 67 36 67 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 46 36 67 | L 36 62 46 61 67 |
| Jaume Munar | W 76 75 | W 62 62 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | L 63 36 67 | L 64 36 46 |
| Denis Shapovalov | W 57 64 63 | W 64 62 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 57 76 36 | L 16 63 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Botic van de Zandschulp
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 4th Round
Aug 10
Casper Ruud
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 8
Stefanos Tsitsipas
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Safiullin
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Jesper de Jong
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Roberto Bautista Agut
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Yannick Hanfmann
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle ยท 1st Round
Jun 16
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 26
Alexander Blockx
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Raphael Collignon
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 6
Valentin Vacherot
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Matteo Berrettini
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 3
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Jan-Lennard Struff
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท 2nd Round
Jul 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 41โ62 matches
| Metric | Fonseca | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 56% |
| Sets won | 61% | 55% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fonseca | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fonseca | Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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