Joao Fonseca vs Learner TienPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Joao Fonseca and Learner Tien have met 3 times since 2024; Joao Fonseca leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Next Gen ATP Finals - Jeddah in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Fonseca leads 3–0. Fonseca has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Fonseca leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Fonseca has taken 8 sets to Tien's 3. Their most recent meeting: Joao Fonseca won at Miami Open - Miami (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fonseca | Tien | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Joao Fonseca | Learner Tien | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 13/18 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 64% | 7/11 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 12/29 | 39% | 18/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 11/21 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 5/8 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 10/15 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 15/17 | 89% | 25/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 13/17 | 57% | 16/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fonseca 0, Tien 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fonseca
💥 Big Hitter
Tien
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Joao Fonseca and Learner Tien are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 20, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 1st Round
Dec 22, 2024
Next Gen ATP Finals - Jeddah
H Hard · Final
Dec 19, 2024
Next Gen ATP Finals - Jeddah
H Hard · Round Robin
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fonseca | Tien | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Joao Fonseca | Learner Tien | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 3/4 | 81% | 13/16 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 2/4 | 56% | 9/16 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 2/4 | 38% | 6/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fonseca | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–1 | 11–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.61 | 1.72 |
| ROI % | +18.8% | -8.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.94u | -1.66u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fonseca | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 5 |
| Distance | — | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km |
| Route | — | GBR → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fonseca has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Tien's 40%).
| Opponent | Fonseca | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Casper Ruud | W 76 63 | L 46 67 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 57 76 36 | L 67 36 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 46 36 67 | W 62 64 |
| Karen Khachanov | W 46 76 64 | L 57 64 76 16 46 |
| Ben Shelton | L 36 67 | L 26 36 |
| Tommy Paul | W 62 63 | W 63 62 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 76 75 | W 76 76 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 67 64 16 | L 16 46 |
| Matteo Berrettini | W 63 62 | W 57 62 63 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 67 67 | L 16 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Dominic Stricker
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, BRA-SUI 3-1 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Botic van de Zandschulp
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 10
Casper Ruud
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Stefanos Tsitsipas
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Safiullin
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Jesper de Jong
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Roberto Bautista Agut
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Casper Ruud
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Zachary Svajda
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Zverev
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 27
Flavio Cobolli
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Jiri Lehecka
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CZE-USA · Rubber 5
Sep 19
Jakub Mensik
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CZE-USA · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Karen Khachanov
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 38–65 matches
| Metric | Fonseca | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 66% |
| Sets won | 60% | 60% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fonseca | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fonseca | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
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