Joao Fonseca vs Learner TienPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Joao Fonseca and Learner Tien have met 3 times since 2024; Joao Fonseca leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Next Gen ATP Finals - Jeddah in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Fonseca leads 3–0. Fonseca has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Fonseca leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Fonseca has taken 8 sets to Tien's 3. Their most recent meeting: Joao Fonseca won at Miami Open - Miami (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fonseca | Tien | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Joao Fonseca | Learner Tien | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 15/20 | 50% | 16/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 58% | 7/12 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 12/32 | 46% | 22/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 13/23 | 46% | 13/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 6/9 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 10/16 | 77% | 17/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 18/20 | 92% | 24/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 15/20 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Fonseca 0, Tien 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fonseca
💥 Big Hitter
Tien
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Joao Fonseca and Learner Tien are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 20, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 1st Round
Dec 22, 2024
Next Gen ATP Finals - Jeddah
H Hard · Final
Dec 19, 2024
Next Gen ATP Finals - Jeddah
H Hard · Round Robin
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fonseca | Tien | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Joao Fonseca | Learner Tien | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 83% | 10/12 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 67% | 8/12 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 5/9 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 10 or more | 22% | 2/9 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fonseca | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | 7–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.47 | 1.62 |
| ROI % | -21.7% | -14.6% |
| Units P/L | -1.95u | -1.75u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fonseca | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 7 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fonseca has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Tien's 44%).
| Opponent | Fonseca | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Ben Shelton | L 36 67 | L 26 36 |
| Tommy Paul | W 62 63 | W 63 62 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 76 75 | W 76 76 |
| Flavio Cobolli | W 64 63 | L 26 26 36 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 67 64 16 | L 16 46 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 57 76 36 | L 36 76 16 67 |
| Matteo Berrettini | W 63 62 | W 57 62 63 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 67 67 | L 16 26 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 63 64 | W 46 61 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Botic van de Zandschulp
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 10
Casper Ruud
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Stefanos Tsitsipas
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Safiullin
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Jesper de Jong
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Roberto Bautista Agut
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Yannick Hanfmann
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 16
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Sebastian Baez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · Semifinals
Aug 13
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Tommy Paul
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Gael Monfils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Adrian Mannarino
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–63 matches
| Metric | Fonseca | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 68% |
| Sets won | 61% | 61% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fonseca | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fonseca | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
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