Joao Domingues vs Michael GeertsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Joao Domingues and Michael Geerts have met 2 times since 2022; Michael Geerts leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Oeiras 3 Challenger in 2022 on clay. Geerts has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Domingues has taken 1 sets to Geerts's 4. Their most recent meeting: Michael Geerts won at Porto Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Domingues | Geerts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Joao Domingues | Michael Geerts | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 22/32 | 73% | 22/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 8/24 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 18/56 | 35% | 17/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 9/16 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 19/34 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 72% | 13/18 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 24/28 | 81% | 26/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 69% | 22/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Domingues 0, Geerts 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Domingues
⚔️ The Gladiator
Geerts
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 63% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 398 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Michael Geerts.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 28, 2026
Porto Challenger
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 22, 2022
Oeiras 3 Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Domingues | Geerts | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Joao Domingues | Michael Geerts | ||
| 1 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 36% | 5/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Domingues | Geerts |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–6 | 7–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.58 | 2.12 |
| ROI % | -54.5% | -11.2% |
| Units P/L | -4.36u | -1.46u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Domingues | Geerts |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,712 mi · 2,756 km |
| Route | POR | BUL → POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Geerts has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Domingues's 0%).
| Opponent | Domingues | Geerts |
|---|---|---|
| Lucas Poullain | L 16 16 | L 76 36 57 |
| Tiago Pereira | L 46 46 | W 60 62 |
| Henry Searle | L 06 64 46 | W 64 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andrej Martin
Maia Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Vilius Gaubas
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Michael Geerts
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Vadym Ursu
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Robin Bertrand
M25 Setubal · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Rafael Izquierdo Luque
M25 Setubal · 1st Round
Sep 22
Julien Penzlin
M25 Sintra · 1st Round
Sep 16
Timofey Skatov
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 18
Edas Butvilas
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Joao Domingues
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Vladyslav Orlov
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Plovdiv 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Jay Dylan Hara Friend
Roehampton 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Lucas Poullain
Roehampton 1 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Radu Albot
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Billy Blaydes
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–57 matches
| Metric | Domingues | Geerts |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 61% |
| Sets won | 55% | 60% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Domingues | Geerts |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Domingues | Geerts |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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