Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno BustaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jiri Lehecka and Pablo Carreno Busta have met 3 times since 2026; Jiri Lehecka leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai in 2026 on hard. On hard courts Lehecka leads 2–0. Across all meetings Lehecka has taken 5 sets to Busta's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jiri Lehecka won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Lehecka | Carreno Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jiri Lehecka | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 20/31 | 56% | 18/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 6/18 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/49 | 44% | 22/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 15/34 | 52% | 14/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 54% | 7/13 | 59% | 13/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 15/27 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 26/30 | 88% | 23/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 20/30 | 69% | 18/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Lehecka 1, Carreno Busta 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Lehecka
🤖 Servebot
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 1,115 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jiri Lehecka.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 30, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
May 25, 2026
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 25, 2026
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Lehecka | Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jiri Lehecka | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 3 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 50% | 6/12 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 10 or more | 40% | 6/15 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Lehecka | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–5 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.71 | 2.47 |
| ROI % | +6.3% | -9.8% |
| Units P/L | +1.08u | -1.18u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Lehecka | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Lehecka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Busta's 50%).
| Opponent | Lehecka | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 36 67 | L 36 64 16 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 36 76 64 | W 46 76 64 |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | W 61 61 | L |
| Matteo Berrettini | W 64 67 63 | L 36 46 |
| Tomas Machac | W 64 67 62 | W 63 62 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 36 | L 63 36 61 36 46 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 64 62 | L 36 61 46 |
| Sebastian Baez | L 46 16 | W 57 75 75 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | W 76 63 | W 64 76 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 76 75 | W 62 36 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Final
Oct 6
Valentin Vacherot
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Semifinals
Oct 5
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Ugo Humbert
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Zizou Bergs
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Learner Tien
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CZE-USA · Rubber 5
Sep 19
Ben Shelton
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CZE-USA · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Alejandro Tabilo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Mariano Navone
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Adrian Mannarino
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yi Zhou
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Jiri Lehecka
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Matchup videos
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–58 matches
| Metric | Lehecka | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 61% |
| Sets won | 58% | 57% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Lehecka | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Lehecka | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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