Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno BustaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐จ๐ฟJiri Lehecka
#19 ยท 24 yrs ยท R
3 meetings ยท sets 5โ4

๐ช๐ธPablo Carreno Busta
#66 ยท 35 yrs ยท R
Jiri Lehecka and Pablo Carreno Busta have met 3 times since 2026; Jiri Lehecka leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai in 2026 on hard. On hard courts Lehecka leads 2โ0. Across all meetings Lehecka has taken 5 sets to Busta's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jiri Lehecka won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Lehecka | Carreno Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jiri Lehecka | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 20/29 | 57% | 23/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 5/17 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 14/46 | 45% | 27/60 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 16/33 | 47% | 18/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 6/11 | 57% | 12/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 15/26 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 25/28 | 89% | 31/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 20/28 | 66% | 23/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Lehecka 1, Carreno Busta 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Lehecka
๐ค Servebot
Busta
๐น Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The ๐ค Servebot archetype wins about 53% vs ๐น Frontrunner across 737 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jiri Lehecka.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 30, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard ยท 1st Round
May 25, 2026
French Open - Paris
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Feb 25, 2026
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Lehecka | Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jiri Lehecka | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 10 or more | 63% | 10/16 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 25% | 4/16 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Lehecka | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10โ6 | 4โ6 |
| Avg odds | 1.61 | 2.51 |
| ROI % | -15.5% | -9.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.48u | -0.93u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Lehecka | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,279 mi ยท 2,059 km | 1,279 mi ยท 2,059 km |
| Route | CAN โ USA | CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Lehecka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Busta's 60%).
| Opponent | Lehecka | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Matteo Berrettini | W 64 67 63 | L 36 46 |
| Tomas Machac | W 64 67 62 | W 63 62 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 36 | L 63 36 61 36 46 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 64 62 | L 36 61 46 |
| Denis Shapovalov | W 64 64 | W 63 76 |
| Sebastian Baez | L 46 16 | W 57 75 75 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | W 76 63 | W 64 76 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 36 76 64 | L 26 16 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 76 75 | W 62 36 63 |
| Luca Nardi | W 46 64 62 | W 67 64 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pablo Carreno Busta
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 30
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 18
Matteo Berrettini
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 4th Round
Aug 9
Alexander Blockx
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 7
Vit Kopriva
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Coleman Wong
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos ยท 2nd Round
Jul 30
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 7
Jiri Lehecka
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 30
Andrey Rublev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Tomas Machac
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril ยท 2nd Round
Jul 23
Vilius Gaubas
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril ยท 1st Round
Jul 21
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag ยท 2nd Round
Jul 15
Matej Dodig
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag ยท 1st Round
Jul 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 54โ66 matches
| Metric | Lehecka | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 64% |
| Sets won | 57% | 60% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Lehecka | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Lehecka | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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