Jesse Flores vs Karl PolingPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jesse Flores and Karl Poling have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at M15 Sherbrooke 1 in 2026 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Flores has taken 2 sets to Poling's 2. Their most recent meeting: Karl Poling won at M25 East Lansing (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Flores | Poling | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jesse Flores | Karl Poling | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 12/17 | 56% | 19/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 35% | 11/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 10/36 | 40% | 26/65 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 9/13 | 42% | 10/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 43% | 9/21 | 61% | 22/36 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 72% | 13/18 | 84% | 26/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 12/18 | 61% | 19/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Flores 1, Poling 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Flores
💥 Big Hitter
Poling
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 58% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 311 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jesse Flores.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 12, 2026
M25 East Lansing
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 3, 2026
M15 Sherbrooke 1
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Flores | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–2 | 14–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.79 | 2.35 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | +71.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.00u | +13.50u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Flores | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 6 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | USA | USA → JAM |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Poling has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Flores's 33%).
| Opponent | Flores | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Blaise Bicknell | L 36 46 | W 75 75 |
| Simphiwe Ngwenya | W 62 76 | L 57 46 |
| Robin Catry | L 36 67 | W 64 67 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Oliver Okonkwo
M15 Champaign · 1st Round
Aug 26
Karl Poling
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Alec Beckley
M15 Mbombela · Semifinals
May 9
Marc Van Der Merwe
M15 Mbombela · Quarterfinals
May 8
Jordan Hasson
M15 Mbombela · Round of 16
May 7
Jordan Hasson
M15 Mbombela · 2nd Round
May 7
Simon Caldwell
M15 Mbombela · 1st Round
May 6
Simon Caldwell
M15 Mbombela · Round of 32
May 6
Thomas Fancutt
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
M25 East Lansing · Final
Aug 16
Nikita Filin
M25 East Lansing · Semifinals
Aug 15
Axel Nefve
M25 East Lansing · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Thomas Fancutt
M25 East Lansing · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Jesse Flores
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Kenta Miyoshi
Granby challenger
Jul 13
Matt Kuhar
Granby challenger
Jul 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 36–65 matches
| Metric | Flores | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 52% |
| Sets won | 48% | 51% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Flores | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Flores | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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