Jesper de Jong vs Nicolai Budkov KjaerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jesper de Jong and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer have met 1 time since 2026; Jesper de Jong leads 1–0. Across all meetings Jong has taken 2 sets to Kjaer's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jesper de Jong won at Quebec City Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Jong | Budkov Kjaer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jesper de Jong | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 44% | 11/25 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 8/27 | 19% | 5/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 22/52 | 32% | 18/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 27% | 9/33 | 39% | 14/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 35% | 6/17 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 65% | 13/20 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 15/20 | 84% | 21/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 55% | 11/20 | 68% | 17/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Jong 1, Budkov Kjaer 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Jong
💥 Big Hitter
Kjaer
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,211 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jesper de Jong.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 20, 2026
Quebec City Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Jong | Kjaer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jesper de Jong | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 5 or more | 63% | 10/16 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 10 or more | 25% | 4/16 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 19% | 3/16 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Jong | Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 2–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | -9.7% | -58.6% |
| Units P/L | -1.55u | -5.27u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Jong | Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 5 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,731 mi · 2,785 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kjaer has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Jong's 0%).
| Opponent | Jong | Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| Hugo Gaston | L 67 16 | L 46 63 16 |
| Gianluca Cadenasso | L 46 75 36 | L 46 46 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 57 26 67 | L 36 26 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 62 57 46 | W 41 42 14 42 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 67 46 | W 63 64 |
| Edas Butvilas | L 57 62 46 | W 46 63 64 |
| Jan Choinski | L 16 67 | W 64 76 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 26 36 | L 36 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Adam Walton
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Hugo Gaston
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Dane Sweeny
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Alex Michelsen
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Timofey Skatov
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Sebastian Baez
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Vilius Gaubas
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 13
Jesper de Jong
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Bu Yunchaokete
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Tampere Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Andrea Pellegrino
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Matej Dodig
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Otto Virtanen
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 25
Mackenzie McDonald
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 14
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–63 matches
| Metric | Jong | Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 51% |
| Sets won | 46% | 47% |
| Games won | 50% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Jong | Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Jong | Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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