Jesper de Jong vs Nicolai Budkov KjaerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jesper de Jong and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer have met 1 time since 2026; Jesper de Jong leads 1–0. Across all meetings Jong has taken 2 sets to Kjaer's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jesper de Jong won at Quebec City Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Jong | Budkov Kjaer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jesper de Jong | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 12/24 | 50% | 14/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 9/25 | 23% | 7/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 43% | 21/49 | 36% | 21/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 29% | 10/34 | 34% | 12/35 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 31% | 4/13 | 35% | 8/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 14/20 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 16/21 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 12/21 | 61% | 14/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Jong 1, Budkov Kjaer 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Jong
👑 The Complete Package
Kjaer
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 380 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Nicolai Budkov Kjaer.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 20, 2026
Quebec City Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Jong | Kjaer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jesper de Jong | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 69% | 9/13 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 39% | 5/13 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 2/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Jong | Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–7 | 8–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.97 | 1.81 |
| ROI % | -35.4% | -25.6% |
| Units P/L | -4.25u | -4.36u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Jong | Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 793 mi · 1,276 km | 461 mi · 742 km |
| Route | FRA → POR | FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kjaer has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Jong's 17%).
| Opponent | Jong | Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| Remy Bertola | W 76 76 | L 57 16 |
| Hugo Gaston | L 67 16 | W 62 36 64 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 57 26 67 | L 36 26 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 62 57 46 | W 41 42 14 42 |
| Jan Choinski | L 16 67 | W 64 76 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 26 36 | L 36 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
David Jorda Sanchis
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Harold Mayot
St. Tropez Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Andrea Guerrieri
St. Tropez Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Remy Bertola
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Samuel Heredia
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NED-COL 4-0 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Zizou Bergs
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Francesco Passaro
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Adam Walton
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Felix Balshaw
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Billy Harris
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Jie Cui
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Titouan Droguet
Cassis Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 12
Moez Echargui
Cassis Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Cassis Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Felix Balshaw
Cassis Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–64 matches
| Metric | Jong | Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 47% |
| Sets won | 47% | 45% |
| Games won | 50% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Jong | Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Jong | Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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