Jelle Sels vs Mathias BourguePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jelle Sels and Mathias Bourgue have met 3 times since 2022; Mathias Bourgue leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Brest in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Bourgue leads 2–1. Across all meetings Sels has taken 3 sets to Bourgue's 5. Their most recent meeting: Jelle Sels won at Mouilleron le Captif (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sels | Bourgue | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelle Sels | Mathias Bourgue | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 15/27 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 9/27 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 21/54 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 10/19 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 15/31 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 9/19 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 19/23 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 15/23 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sels 0, Bourgue 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sels
⚙️ Grinder
Bourgue
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,211 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mathias Bourgue.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 2, 2024
Mouilleron le Captif
H Hard · Round of 32
Feb 28, 2023
Pau
H Hard · Round of 32
Oct 28, 2022
Brest
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sels | Bourgue |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–3 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.41 | - |
| ROI % | +15.0% | - |
| Units P/L | +0.90u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sels | Bourgue |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | NED | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pieter De Lange
M25 Oldenzaal · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Stijn Paardekooper
M25 Oldenzaal · 1st Round
Aug 25
Abel Forger
M25 The Hague · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Kirill Kivattsev
M25 Nivelles · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Yuichiro Inui
Futures 2026
Jun 30
Yuichiro Inui
M25 Nivelles · 1st Round
Jun 30
Dimitar Kuzmanov
Plovdiv Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 23
Francesco Forti
Perugia Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 2
Damir Dzumhur
Bordeaux · Round of 32
May 13
Antoine Cornut-Chauvinc
St. Brieuc · Round of 32
Oct 15
Jelle Sels
Mouilleron le Captif · Round of 32
Oct 2
Martin Sabas
Mouilleron le Captif · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 30
Jonathan Eysseric
Mouilleron le Captif · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Mae Malige
Saint-Tropez · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 15
Adrian Mannarino
Rennes · Round of 32
Sep 9
Robin Bertrand
Cassis · Round of 32
Sep 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–55 matches
| Metric | Sels | Bourgue |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | - |
| Sets won | 49% | - |
| Games won | 48% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sels | Bourgue |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sels | Bourgue |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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