Jelle Sels vs Mathias BourguePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jelle Sels and Mathias Bourgue have met 3 times since 2022; Mathias Bourgue leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Brest Challenger in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Bourgue leads 2–1. Across all meetings Sels has taken 3 sets to Bourgue's 5. Their most recent meeting: Jelle Sels won at Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sels | Bourgue | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelle Sels | Mathias Bourgue | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 15/25 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 9/25 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 19/50 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 9/16 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 18/32 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 9/17 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 15/22 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sels 0, Bourgue 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sels
⚙️ Grinder
Bourgue
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 682 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mathias Bourgue.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 2, 2024
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 28, 2023
Pau Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 28, 2022
Brest Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sels | Bourgue |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | - |
| ROI % | -3.2% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.35u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sels | Bourgue |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | FRA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Adrien Gobat
M15 Rodez · Final
Oct 11
Emile Hudd
M15 Rodez · Semifinals
Oct 10
Loann Massard
M15 Rodez · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Alexandre Reco
M15 Rodez · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Thomas Gerbaud
M15 Rodez · 1st Round
Oct 7
Ryan Peniston
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Matthew William Donald
Tulln Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Eduardo Ribeiro
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Damir Dzumhur
Bordeaux Challenger · 1st Round
May 13
Antoine Cornut-Chauvinc
St. Brieuc Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 15
Jelle Sels
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 2
Martin Sabas
Mouilleron le Captif · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 30
Jonathan Eysseric
Mouilleron le Captif · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Mae Malige
Saint-Tropez · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 15
Adrian Mannarino
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 9
Robin Bertrand
Cassis Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–51 matches
| Metric | Sels | Bourgue |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | - |
| Sets won | 50% | - |
| Games won | 48% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sels | Bourgue |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sels | Bourgue |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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