Alexey Vatutin vs Mathias BourguePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexey Vatutin and Mathias Bourgue have met 4 times since 2021; Mathias Bourgue leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Quimper 2 in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Bourgue leads 3–1. Bourgue has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Vatutin has taken 3 sets to Bourgue's 7. Their most recent meeting: Mathias Bourgue won at Saint-Tropez (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Vatutin | Bourgue | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexey Vatutin | Mathias Bourgue | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 7/11 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 6/12 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 43% | 10/23 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 6/14 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 86% | 6/7 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 2/5 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 9/12 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 7/12 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Vatutin 0, Bourgue 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Vatutin
🧱 The Wall
Bourgue
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs 🧱 The Wall across 482 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mathias Bourgue.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 17, 2023
Saint-Tropez
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 26, 2023
Pau
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 13, 2023
Cherbourg
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Feb 1, 2021
Quimper 2
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Donski
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Andrej Martin
Maia Challenger · Quarterfinals
Nov 28
Henrique Rocha
Maia Challenger · 2nd Round
Nov 27
Franco Agamenone
Maia Challenger · 1st Round
Nov 25
Carlos Lopez Montagud
Maia · 2nd Round Qualifying
Nov 24
Tomas Serrano Luis
Maia · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 23
Mark Lajal
Bergamo Challenger · 1st Round
Nov 19
Andrea Guerrieri
Bergamo · 2nd Round Qualifying
Nov 17
Damir Dzumhur
Bordeaux · Round of 32
May 13
Antoine Cornut-Chauvinc
St. Brieuc · Round of 32
Oct 15
Jelle Sels
Mouilleron le Captif · Round of 32
Oct 2
Martin Sabas
Mouilleron le Captif · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 30
Jonathan Eysseric
Mouilleron le Captif · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Mae Malige
Saint-Tropez · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 15
Adrian Mannarino
Rennes · Round of 32
Sep 9
Robin Bertrand
Cassis · Round of 32
Sep 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 23–23 matches
| Metric | Vatutin | Bourgue |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | - |
| Sets won | 50% | - |
| Games won | 50% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Vatutin | Bourgue |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Vatutin | Bourgue |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
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