Jelle Sels vs Lorenzo CarboniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jelle Sels and Lorenzo Carboni have met 1 time since 2026; Lorenzo Carboni leads 1–0. Across all meetings Sels has taken 0 sets to Carboni's 2. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Carboni won at Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sels | Carboni | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelle Sels | Lorenzo Carboni | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 15/27 | 68% | 19/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 9/27 | 31% | 9/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 21/54 | 32% | 18/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 10/19 | 50% | 15/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 15/31 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 9/19 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 19/23 | 73% | 22/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 15/23 | 63% | 19/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sels 0, Carboni 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sels
⚙️ Grinder
Carboni
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🛡️ The Spoiler is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 173 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 1, 2026
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sels | Carboni | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jelle Sels | Lorenzo Carboni | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sels | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–3 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.41 | 1.83 |
| ROI % | +15.0% | -69.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.90u | -4.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sels | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 5 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | NED | BUL → ITA → SUI |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sels has a higher win rate against shared opponents (25% vs Carboni's 0%).
| Opponent | Sels | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| Francesco Forti | L 06 67 | L 75 67 16 |
| Federico Iannaccone | L 46 26 | L 26 36 |
| Gianluca Cadenasso | L 46 06 | L 36 16 |
| Lui Maxted | W 36 63 62 | L 26 14 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pieter De Lange
M25 Oldenzaal · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Stijn Paardekooper
M25 Oldenzaal · 1st Round
Aug 25
Abel Forger
M25 The Hague · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Kirill Kivattsev
M25 Nivelles · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Yuichiro Inui
Futures 2026
Jun 30
Yuichiro Inui
M25 Nivelles · 1st Round
Jun 30
Dimitar Kuzmanov
Plovdiv Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 23
Francesco Forti
Perugia Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 2
Andrey Chepelev
M25 Lausanne · Semifinals
Aug 29
Noah Karma
M25 Lausanne · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Nicolas Ulrich
M25 Lausanne · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Nicolas Ulrich
M25 Lausanne · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Arthur Bellegy
M25 Lausanne · 1st Round
Aug 25
Daniel Michalski
Todi Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Petr Brunclik
Plovdiv 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Gabriele Crivellaro
M25 Bolzano · 1st Round
Jul 28
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–57 matches
| Metric | Sels | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 49% |
| Sets won | 49% | 49% |
| Games won | 48% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sels | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sels | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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