Jan-Lennard Struff vs Taro DanielPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jan-Lennard Struff and Taro Daniel have met 6 times since 2016; Jan-Lennard Struff leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at Braunschweig in 2016 on clay. On clay courts Struff leads 3–2. Struff has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Struff has taken 9 sets to Daniel's 6. Their most recent meeting: Jan-Lennard Struff won at US Open (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Struff | Daniel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jan-Lennard Struff | Taro Daniel | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 14/23 | 73% | 29/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 48% | 12/25 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 44% | 21/48 | 31% | 19/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 32% | 8/25 | 60% | 15/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 11/21 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 11/22 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 17/22 | 83% | 35/42 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 14/22 | 69% | 29/42 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Struff 2, Daniel 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Struff
🤖 Servebot
Daniel
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jan-Lennard Struff.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Aug 21, 2025
US Open
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jul 7, 2022
Braunschweig Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Aug 1, 2018
Kitzbuhel
C Clay · Round of 32
May 1, 2017
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 7, 2017
Marrakech
C Clay · Round of 32
Jul 6, 2016
Braunschweig
C Clay · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Struff | Daniel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jan-Lennard Struff | Taro Daniel | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 5 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 10 or more | 46% | 5/11 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Struff | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 10–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.86 | 1.73 |
| ROI % | -16.9% | +5.1% |
| Units P/L | -1.86u | +0.82u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Struff | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | 2,283 mi · 3,674 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Daniel has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Struff's 40%).
| Opponent | Struff | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Aleksandr Shevchenko | W 36 76 64 | W 36 60 76 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 61 16 | L 67 46 |
| Zsombor Piros | W 75 76 | W 63 63 |
| Emilio Nava | L 63 46 36 | W 61 63 |
| James Duckworth | L 76 46 46 | L 62 67 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daniil Medvedev
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Martin Landaluce
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Thiago Agustin Tirante
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Francisco Cerundolo
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Alejandro Tabilo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Shintaro Mochizuki
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Fabian Marozsan
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Dane Sweeny
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Hayato Matsuoka
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Jake Delaney
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Marat Sharipov
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Matthew Dellavedova
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–61 matches
| Metric | Struff | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 66% |
| Sets won | 51% | 62% |
| Games won | 50% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Struff | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Struff | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 3 | 2 |
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