Jan Choinski vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇬🇧Jan Choinski
#75 · 30 yrs · R
3Title1 meeting · sets 2–3
🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#209 · 33 yrs · R
5wJan Choinski and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 1 time since 2024; Roberto Carballes Baena leads 1–0. Across all meetings Choinski has taken 2 sets to Baena's 3. Their most recent meeting: Roberto Carballes Baena won at U.S. Open - New York (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Choinski | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jan Choinski | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 27/48 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 11/28 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 32/76 | 43% | 20/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 20/46 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 77% | 23/30 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 48% | 16/33 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 33/36 | 85% | 22/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 27/36 | 58% | 15/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Choinski
💥 Big Hitter
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 26, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Choinski | Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jan Choinski | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 28/28 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 3 or more | 96% | 27/28 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 20/28 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 10 or more | 25% | 7/28 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 7% | 2/28 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/28 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Choinski | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 18–9 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.90 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | +5.7% | -20.3% |
| Units P/L | +1.53u | -2.84u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Choinski | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 4 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | 5,992 mi · 9,643 km | — |
| Route | GER → USA → CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Choinski has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Baena's 25%).
| Opponent | Choinski | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Mees Rottgering | L 57 62 46 | L 67 76 36 |
| Olle Wallin | W 64 75 | L 36 61 16 |
| Marc-Andrea Huesler | L 46 64 46 | L 36 67 |
| Max Hans Rehberg | W 26 75 64 | W 64 64 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 63 75 62 | L 16 36 |
| Miguel Damas | W 46 64 64 | W 62 63 |
| Jesper de Jong | W 61 76 | L 36 26 |
| Andrea Pellegrino | W 62 36 61 | L 64 57 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jamie Mackenzie
Bonn Challenger · Final
Aug 2
Federico Agustin Gomez
Bonn Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Alex Barrena
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Francesco Passaro
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 27
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Mackenzie McDonald
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Mark Ceban
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Sebastian Ofner
Parma Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Stefano Travaglia
Parma Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Miguel Damas
Parma Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–78 matches
| Metric | Choinski | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 55% |
| Sets won | 58% | 54% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Choinski | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Choinski | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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