James Story vs Niels McDonaldPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
James Story and Niels McDonald have met 1 time since 2026; Niels McDonald leads 1–0. Across all meetings Story has taken 1 sets to McDonald's 2. Their most recent meeting: Niels McDonald won at M15 Oberhaching 1 (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Story | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | James Story | Niels McDonald | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 19/22 | 62% | 16/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 5/14 | 30% | 7/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 22% | 8/36 | 35% | 17/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 13/22 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 40% | 4/10 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 12/21 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | 82% | 18/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 19/23 | 73% | 16/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Story 0, McDonald 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Story
💥 Big Hitter
McDonald
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 58% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 311 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward James Story.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Feb 10, 2026
M15 Oberhaching 1
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Story | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–1 | 18–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.25 | 1.96 |
| ROI % | -28.5% | +24.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.57u | +5.94u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Story | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 5 |
| Distance | — | 545 mi · 877 km |
| Route | — | GER |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Story and McDonald posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Story | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Dimitris Sakellaridis | L 67 46 | W 63 76 |
| Paul Jubb | W 61 63 | L 63 16 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rahul Dhokia
M25 Aldershot · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rhys Lawlor
M25 Aldershot · 1st Round
Jul 29
Dimitris Azoidis
ITC Crete Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 8
Lui Maxted
ITC Crete Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 1
Niels McDonald
M15 Oberhaching 1 · 1st Round
Feb 10
Lui Maxted
M25 Glasgow 1 · Semifinals
Jan 30
Paul Jubb
M25 Glasgow 1 · Quarterfinals
Jan 29
Sean Hodkin
M25 Glasgow 1 · 2nd Round
Jan 28
Cezar Cretu
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Marvin Moeller
Hamburg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Eduardo Ribeiro
Hamburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Mika Petkovic
Hamburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 10
Jerome Kym
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Jurij Rodionov
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Dimitris Sakellaridis
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Federico Agustin Gomez
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 36–49 matches
| Metric | Story | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 53% |
| Sets won | 61% | 51% |
| Games won | 54% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Story | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Story | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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