James Story vs Niels McDonaldPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
James Story and Niels McDonald have met 1 time since 2026; Niels McDonald leads 1–0. Across all meetings Story has taken 1 sets to McDonald's 2. Their most recent meeting: Niels McDonald won at M15 Oberhaching 1 (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Story | McDonald | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | James Story | Niels McDonald | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 11/14 | 64% | 18/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 45% | 5/11 | 26% | 7/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 8/25 | 31% | 17/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 6/13 | 61% | 14/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 4/9 | 40% | 10/25 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 3/9 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 12/16 | 87% | 20/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 11/16 | 78% | 18/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Story 0, McDonald 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Story
👑 The Complete Package
McDonald
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 55% vs 🎾 All-Court across 281 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward James Story.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Feb 10, 2026
M15 Oberhaching 1
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Story | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–1 | 4–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.25 | 1.99 |
| ROI % | -28.5% | -50.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.57u | -5.53u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Story | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Story has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs McDonald's 0%).
| Opponent | Story | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Jubb | W 61 63 | L 63 16 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rahul Dhokia
M25 Aldershot · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rhys Lawlor
M25 Aldershot · 1st Round
Jul 29
Dimitris Azoidis
ITC Crete Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 8
Demetris Azoides
Hersonissos 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 8
Lui Maxted
ITC Crete Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 1
Niels McDonald
M15 Oberhaching 1 · 1st Round
Feb 10
Lui Maxted
M25 Glasgow 1 · Semifinals
Jan 30
Paul Jubb
M25 Glasgow 1 · Quarterfinals
Jan 29
Jakub Paul
Roanne Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Niels Visker
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Zaccharie Cado
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Enrico Dalla Valle
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Cezar Cretu
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Marvin Moeller
Hamburg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Eduardo Ribeiro
Hamburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Mika Petkovic
Hamburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 10
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 25–55 matches
| Metric | Story | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 51% |
| Sets won | 57% | 50% |
| Games won | 53% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Story | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Story | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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