James Story vs Paul JubbPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
James Story and Paul Jubb have met 4 times since 2025; Paul Jubb leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Ilkley in 2025 on grass. On hard courts Jubb leads 2–1. Across all meetings Story has taken 4 sets to Jubb's 6. Their most recent meeting: James Story won at M25 Glasgow 1 (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Story | Jubb | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | James Story | Paul Jubb | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 19/22 | 76% | 25/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 5/14 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 22% | 8/36 | 33% | 18/54 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 13/22 | 51% | 20/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 40% | 4/10 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 12/21 | 59% | 13/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | 93% | 28/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 19/23 | 83% | 25/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Story 1, Jubb 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Story
💥 Big Hitter
Jubb
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 29, 2026
M25 Glasgow 1
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 16, 2025
M25 Aldershot 1
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 9, 2025
M25 Roehampton 2
H Hard · Semifinals
Jun 8, 2025
Ilkley
G Grass · 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Story | Jubb |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–1 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.25 | 2.08 |
| ROI % | -28.5% | -21.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.57u | -2.11u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Story | Jubb |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | JAM |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Story and Jubb posted a 75% win rate.
| Opponent | Story | Jubb |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Spyrou | W 61 64 | W 60 61 |
| Niels McDonald | L 62 36 46 | W 36 61 76 |
| Toby Martin | W 61 76 | W 76 62 |
| Clement Chidekh | W 63 62 | L 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rahul Dhokia
M25 Aldershot · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rhys Lawlor
M25 Aldershot · 1st Round
Jul 29
Dimitris Azoidis
ITC Crete Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 8
Lui Maxted
ITC Crete Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 1
Niels McDonald
M15 Oberhaching 1 · 1st Round
Feb 10
Lui Maxted
M25 Glasgow 1 · Semifinals
Jan 30
Paul Jubb
M25 Glasgow 1 · Quarterfinals
Jan 29
Sean Hodkin
M25 Glasgow 1 · 2nd Round
Jan 28
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Elias Ymer
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 17
Christoph Negritu
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Khumoyun Sultanov
M25 Marburg · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Karl Friberg
Futures 2026
Jul 1
Karl Friberg
M25 Marburg · 1st Round
Jul 1
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Tomas Barrios Vera
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 36–54 matches
| Metric | Story | Jubb |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 61% |
| Sets won | 61% | 60% |
| Games won | 54% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Story | Jubb |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 2 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Story | Jubb |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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