James Story vs Lui MaxtedPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
James Story and Lui Maxted have met 2 times since 2026; Lui Maxted leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at M25 Glasgow 1 in 2026 on hard. On hard courts Maxted leads 2–0. Maxted has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Story has taken 1 sets to Maxted's 4. Their most recent meeting: Lui Maxted won at ITC Crete Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Story | Maxted | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | James Story | Lui Maxted | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 11/14 | 74% | 32/43 |
| Wins a set when losing | 45% | 5/11 | 29% | 6/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 8/25 | 27% | 17/64 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 6/13 | 54% | 25/46 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 4/9 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 3/9 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 12/16 | 91% | 39/43 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 11/16 | 74% | 32/43 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Story 0, Maxted 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Story
👑 The Complete Package
Maxted
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,744 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward James Story.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Mar 1, 2026
ITC Crete Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 30, 2026
M25 Glasgow 1
H Hard · Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Story | Maxted |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–1 | 14–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.25 | 1.61 |
| ROI % | -28.5% | -16.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.57u | -3.87u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Story | Maxted |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Story has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Maxted's 67%).
| Opponent | Story | Maxted |
|---|---|---|
| Rhys Lawlor | W 67 63 63 | W 57 62 63 |
| Anton Matusevich | W 62 36 76 | L 36 67 |
| Sean Hodkin | W 67 64 76 | W 64 36 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rahul Dhokia
M25 Aldershot · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rhys Lawlor
M25 Aldershot · 1st Round
Jul 29
Dimitris Azoidis
ITC Crete Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 8
Demetris Azoides
Hersonissos 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 8
Lui Maxted
ITC Crete Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 1
Niels McDonald
M15 Oberhaching 1 · 1st Round
Feb 10
Lui Maxted
M25 Glasgow 1 · Semifinals
Jan 30
Paul Jubb
M25 Glasgow 1 · Quarterfinals
Jan 29
Luca Potenza
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Francisco Rocha
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
M25 Setubal · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Tyler Stice
M25 Setubal · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Blu Baker
M25 Setubal · 1st Round
Sep 23
Fausto Tabacco
M25 Sintra · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Julien Penzlin
M25 Sintra · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Goncalo Marques
M25 Sintra · 1st Round
Sep 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 25–64 matches
| Metric | Story | Maxted |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 67% |
| Sets won | 57% | 63% |
| Games won | 53% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Story | Maxted |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Story | Maxted |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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