James Story vs Lui MaxtedPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
James Story and Lui Maxted have met 2 times since 2026; Lui Maxted leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at M25 Glasgow 1 in 2026 on hard. On hard courts Maxted leads 2–0. Maxted has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Story has taken 1 sets to Maxted's 4. Their most recent meeting: Lui Maxted won at ITC Crete Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Story | Maxted | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | James Story | Lui Maxted | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 19/22 | 73% | 30/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 5/14 | 36% | 8/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 22% | 8/36 | 30% | 19/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 13/22 | 53% | 23/43 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 40% | 4/10 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 12/21 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | 88% | 38/43 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 19/23 | 70% | 30/43 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Story 0, Maxted 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Story
💥 Big Hitter
Maxted
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Mar 1, 2026
ITC Crete Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 30, 2026
M25 Glasgow 1
H Hard · Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Story | Maxted |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–1 | 13–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| ROI % | -28.5% | -9.6% |
| Units P/L | -0.57u | -2.02u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Story | Maxted |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 10 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | GBR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Story has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Maxted's 50%).
| Opponent | Story | Maxted |
|---|---|---|
| Rhys Lawlor | W 67 63 63 | W 57 62 63 |
| Anton Matusevich | W 62 36 76 | L 36 67 |
| Sean Hodkin | W 67 64 76 | W 64 36 61 |
| Jelle Sels | W 64 62 | L 63 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rahul Dhokia
M25 Aldershot · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rhys Lawlor
M25 Aldershot · 1st Round
Jul 29
Dimitris Azoidis
ITC Crete Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 8
Lui Maxted
ITC Crete Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 1
Niels McDonald
M15 Oberhaching 1 · 1st Round
Feb 10
Lui Maxted
M25 Glasgow 1 · Semifinals
Jan 30
Paul Jubb
M25 Glasgow 1 · Quarterfinals
Jan 29
Sean Hodkin
M25 Glasgow 1 · 2nd Round
Jan 28
Johannus Monday
Roehampton 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Anton Shepp
Roehampton 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 24
Lucas Poullain
Roehampton 1 Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 21
Adrian Boitan
Roehampton 1 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Patrick Brady
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Matteo Martineau
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Charles Broom
M25 Roehampton · Semifinals
Aug 8
Mark Ceban
M25 Roehampton · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 36–63 matches
| Metric | Story | Maxted |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 65% |
| Sets won | 61% | 62% |
| Games won | 54% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Story | Maxted |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Story | Maxted |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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