James McCabe vs Shintaro MochizukiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
James McCabe and Shintaro Mochizuki have met 4 times since 2023; Shintaro Mochizuki leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Tunis in 2023 on clay. On hard courts Mochizuki leads 3–0. Mochizuki has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings McCabe has taken 1 sets to Mochizuki's 8. Their most recent meeting: Shintaro Mochizuki won at Jinan Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | McCabe | Mochizuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | James McCabe | Shintaro Mochizuki | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 24/36 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 10/31 | 43% | 15/35 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 22/67 | 45% | 25/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 20/43 | 23% | 6/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 54% | 13/24 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 17/37 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 27/33 | 81% | 17/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 24/33 | 52% | 11/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (McCabe 0, Mochizuki 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
McCabe
🤖 Servebot
Mochizuki
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 62% vs 🧱 The Wall across 266 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward James McCabe.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 7, 2025
Jinan Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 1, 2025
Bengaluru Challenger
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 27, 2024
Yokkaichi Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
May 16, 2023
Tunis
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | McCabe | Mochizuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | James McCabe | Shintaro Mochizuki | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 84% | 16/19 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 42% | 8/19 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 21% | 4/19 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | McCabe | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–7 | 10–11 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -23.6% |
| Units P/L | -7.00u | -4.96u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | McCabe | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 4 |
| Matches | 1 | 7 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 3,937 mi · 6,336 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
McCabe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (38% vs Mochizuki's 25%).
| Opponent | McCabe | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hayato Matsuoka | L 36 46 | L 36 26 |
| Roman Safiullin | L 36 67 | L 26 36 |
| Martin Damm | W 36 63 64 | L 16 46 |
| Lukas Neumayer | L 16 46 | L 26 26 |
| Dane Sweeny | W 67 61 76 | W 16 76 63 |
| Duncan Chan | L 67 64 57 | W 62 26 64 |
| Remy Bertola | L 67 46 | L 36 46 |
| Sander Jong | W 76 64 | L 64 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Hayato Matsuoka
Jinan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 12
Siddhant Banthia
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Federico Cina
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Lukas Neumayer
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Noah Zamora
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Dusan Lajovic
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Bolt
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 25
Duncan Chan
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 22
Roman Safiullin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Taro Daniel
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Jaime Faria
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Martin Damm
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Pavel Kotov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Linang Xiao
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Pavel Kotov
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Jakub Mensik
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–67 matches
| Metric | McCabe | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 40% |
| Sets won | 53% | 43% |
| Games won | 51% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | McCabe | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 4 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | McCabe | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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