James McCabe vs Shintaro MochizukiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
James McCabe and Shintaro Mochizuki have met 4 times since 2023; Shintaro Mochizuki leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Tunis in 2023 on clay. On hard courts Mochizuki leads 3–0. Mochizuki has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings McCabe has taken 1 sets to Mochizuki's 8. Their most recent meeting: Shintaro Mochizuki won at Jinan Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | McCabe | Mochizuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | James McCabe | Shintaro Mochizuki | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 24/35 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 10/30 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 21/65 | 43% | 21/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 19/41 | 30% | 7/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 14/24 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 16/34 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 27/33 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 24/33 | 52% | 11/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (McCabe 0, Mochizuki 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
McCabe
🤖 Servebot
Mochizuki
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs 🧱 The Wall across 386 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward James McCabe.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 7, 2025
Jinan Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 1, 2025
Bengaluru Challenger
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 27, 2024
Yokkaichi Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
May 16, 2023
Tunis
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | McCabe | Mochizuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | James McCabe | Shintaro Mochizuki | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 53% | 9/17 |
| 5 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 29% | 5/17 |
| 10 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | McCabe | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–9 | 12–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.97 | 2.70 |
| ROI % | -30.9% | +17.4% |
| Units P/L | -4.32u | +3.47u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | McCabe | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| Distance | — | 145 mi · 233 km |
| Route | USA | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mochizuki has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs McCabe's 20%).
| Opponent | McCabe | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hayato Matsuoka | L 57 46 | L 36 26 |
| Duncan Chan | L 67 64 57 | W 62 26 64 |
| Bernard Tomic | L 67 46 | W 61 64 |
| Remy Bertola | L 67 46 | L 36 46 |
| Sander Jong | W 76 64 | L 64 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Noah Zamora
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Dusan Lajovic
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Duncan Chan
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 22
Bernard Tomic
Lincoln Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Masamichi Imamura
Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 15
Jason Jung
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 8
Roman Safiullin
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Remy Bertola
Lexus Nottingham Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Soon Woo Kwon
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Fabian Marozsan
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Hayato Matsuoka
Vancouver Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Charles Broom
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Liam Draxl
Winnipeg Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 25
Johannus Monday
Winnipeg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Duncan Chan
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Philip Sekulic
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–65 matches
| Metric | McCabe | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 40% |
| Sets won | 53% | 45% |
| Games won | 51% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | McCabe | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 4 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | McCabe | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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