James Connel vs Louis LaruePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- M15 Baku
- Level
- ITF M15
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 23 · 12:35 AM ET
Book odds
Record at prices like this
At 4.75 or longer, Louis Larue has won 2 of 17 (12%). The price implied 15%, so Louis Larue has fallen 3 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
James Connel and Louis Larue meet next at the M15 Baku on September 23 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Connel | Larue | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | James Connel | Louis Larue | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 16/22 | 71% | 15/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 14% | 2/14 | 30% | 9/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 22% | 8/36 | 29% | 15/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 6/13 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 4/12 | 43% | 13/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 3/5 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 20/20 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 16/20 | 65% | 15/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Connel
🪃 Counterpuncher
Larue
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 55% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 172 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward James Connel.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Connel and Larue have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Connel | Larue | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | James Connel | Louis Larue | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 79% | 11/14 |
| 3 or more | 40% | 2/5 | 57% | 8/14 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 50% | 7/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 14% | 2/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Connel | Larue |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 2–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.60 | 4.58 |
| ROI % | -32.0% | -76.4% |
| Units P/L | -1.28u | -8.40u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Connel | Larue |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | TUN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Connel and Larue posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Connel | Larue |
|---|---|---|
| Pedro Petroski Rocha | W 63 63 | W 61 62 |
| Amir Omarkhanov | L 46 36 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Damien Salvestre
M15 Monastir · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Ali Yazdani
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Sep 15
Kasra Rahmani
M15 Monastir · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Taym Al Azmeh
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Sep 9
Anuj Watane
M15 Monastir · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 8
Pedro Petroski Rocha
M15 Monastir · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Christian Langmo
M25 Pensacola · 1st Round
May 12
Nick Hardt
M15 Orange Park · Quarterfinals
May 1
Maxence Bertimon
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Sep 15
Kael Shalin Shah
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Sep 2
Toufik Sahtali
M15 Monastir · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Jorge Plans
M15 Monastir · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Skander Nsairi
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Aug 26
Erik Johansson
M15 Bastad · 1st Round
Aug 20
Erik Johansson
M15 Bastad · 1st Round
Aug 20
Stefan Seifert
M15 Bastad · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 36–51 matches
| Metric | Connel | Larue |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 41% |
| Sets won | 57% | 44% |
| Games won | 54% | 47% |