Jakub Paul vs Michele MecarelliPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jakub Paul and Michele Mecarelli have met 1 time since 2026; Jakub Paul leads 1–0. Across all meetings Paul has taken 2 sets to Mecarelli's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jakub Paul won at Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paul | Mecarelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jakub Paul | Michele Mecarelli | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 6/7 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 4/11 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 5/18 | 38% | 15/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 80% | 4/5 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 36% | 4/11 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 5/7 | 27% | 3/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 60% | 6/10 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 6/10 | 56% | 10/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paul 1, Mecarelli 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paul
🪃 Counterpuncher
Mecarelli
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 55% vs 🧱 The Wall across 753 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jakub Paul.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 14, 2026
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paul | Mecarelli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–1 | 5–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.83 | 2.23 |
| ROI % | -40.0% | -37.9% |
| Units P/L | -0.80u | -4.55u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paul | Mecarelli |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | ITA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mecarelli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Paul's 0%).
| Opponent | Paul | Mecarelli |
|---|---|---|
| Maxime Janvier | L 64 06 16 | W 61 36 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Enrico Dalla Valle
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 15
Michele Mecarelli
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Stefano Napolitano
Copa Faulconbridge · 1st Round Qualifying
May 11
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Copa Faulconbridge · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 1
Dusan Lajovic
Grand Prix Hassan II · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 30
Alexandre Muller
Naples Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 24
John Sperle
Guerri Napoli Tennis Cup · 2nd Round Qualifying
Mar 3
Laurent Lokoli
Guerri Napoli Tennis Cup · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 2
Francesco Forti
Todi Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Stefano D'Agostino
M25 Fano · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Daniele Minighini
M25 Fano · 1st Round
Aug 4
Vladyslav Orlov
M25 Bolzano · 1st Round
Jul 28
Martin Van Der Meerschen
M15 Segrate · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Andrea Tognolini
M15 Segrate · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Andrea Tognolini
M15 Segrate · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Leonardo Borrelli
M15 Segrate · 1st Round
Jul 21
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 18–39 matches
| Metric | Paul | Mecarelli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 39% | 46% |
| Sets won | 44% | 46% |
| Games won | 48% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paul | Mecarelli |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paul | Mecarelli |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.