Jakub Paul vs Michele MecarelliPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jakub Paul and Michele Mecarelli have met 1 time since 2026; Jakub Paul leads 1–0. Across all meetings Paul has taken 2 sets to Mecarelli's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jakub Paul won at Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paul | Mecarelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jakub Paul | Michele Mecarelli | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 5/9 | 66% | 19/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 22% | 2/9 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 6/18 | 35% | 19/54 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 2/4 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 54% | 14/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 80% | 4/5 | 43% | 6/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 7/9 | 76% | 22/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 5/9 | 66% | 19/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paul 1, Mecarelli 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paul
🪃 Counterpuncher
Mecarelli
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Jakub Paul and Michele Mecarelli are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,190 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 14, 2026
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paul | Mecarelli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–1 | 11–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.53 | 1.99 |
| ROI % | +86.7% | -10.0% |
| Units P/L | +2.60u | -1.90u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Niels McDonald
Roanne Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Rudolf Molleker
Prague Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Svyatoslav Gulin
Prague Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 16
Enrico Dalla Valle
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 15
Michele Mecarelli
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Valencia Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
May 12
Stefano Napolitano
Copa Faulconbridge · 1st Round Qualifying
May 11
Dusan Lajovic
Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 29
Dragos Nicolae Madaras
M15 Telavi · Quarterfinals
Oct 1
Edoardo cherie Ligniere
M15 Telavi · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Aleksandre Shvangiradze
M15 Telavi · 1st Round
Sep 28
Dmitry Popko
M15 Telavi · Final
Sep 27
Dragos Nicolae Madaras
M15 Telavi · Semifinals
Sep 26
Edoardo cherie Ligniere
M15 Telavi · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Ruslan Tiukaev
M15 Telavi · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Artur Kukasian
M15 Telavi · 1st Round
Sep 23
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 18–54 matches
| Metric | Paul | Mecarelli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 54% |
| Sets won | 48% | 53% |
| Games won | 50% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paul | Mecarelli |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paul | Mecarelli |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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