Gianmarco Ferrari vs Michele MecarelliPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Gianmarco Ferrari and Michele Mecarelli have met 3 times since 2025; Gianmarco Ferrari leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 11 in 2025 on clay. On clay courts Ferrari leads 3–0. Ferrari has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Ferrari has taken 6 sets to Mecarelli's 2. Their most recent meeting: Gianmarco Ferrari won at M25 Grado (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ferrari | Mecarelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gianmarco Ferrari | Michele Mecarelli | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 26/36 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 17% | 4/24 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 14/60 | 38% | 15/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 18/30 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 45% | 9/20 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 7/15 | 27% | 3/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 97% | 30/31 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 84% | 26/31 | 56% | 10/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ferrari 1, Mecarelli 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ferrari
⚔️ The Gladiator
Mecarelli
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The ⚔️ The Gladiator archetype wins about 54% vs 🧱 The Wall across 591 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Gianmarco Ferrari.
The Gladiator players often use physical intensity and balanced game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 27, 2026
M25 Grado
C Clay · 1st Round
Nov 6, 2025
M15 San Gregorio di Catania 1
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 14, 2025
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 11
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ferrari | Mecarelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Gianmarco Ferrari | Michele Mecarelli | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 3 or more | 44% | 4/9 | 33% | 4/12 |
| 5 or more | 22% | 2/9 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ferrari | Mecarelli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | 5–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.77 | 2.23 |
| ROI % | -26.4% | -37.9% |
| Units P/L | -2.38u | -4.55u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ferrari | Mecarelli |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | ITA | ITA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ferrari has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Mecarelli's 33%).
| Opponent | Ferrari | Mecarelli |
|---|---|---|
| Leonardo Borrelli | W 76 60 | W 64 63 |
| Gabriele Maria Noce | W 62 62 | L 36 67 |
| Petr Nesterov | L 46 63 16 | L 46 26 |
| Josip Simundza | W 64 64 | W 61 57 63 |
| Lorenzo Bocchi | W 64 64 | L 46 57 |
| Remy Bertola | W 76 57 76 | L 16 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Samuele Seghetti
M25 Lesa · 1st Round
Aug 18
Fausto Tabacco
M25 Milano · Semifinals
Jun 19
Giorgio Tabacco
Futures 2026
Jun 18
Giorgio Tabacco
M25 Milano · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Alessandro Spadola
M25 Milano · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Leonardo Borrelli
M25 Milano · 1st Round
Jun 16
Leonardo Borrelli
Futures 2026
Jun 16
Roberto Carballes Baena
Cattolica Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 10
Francesco Forti
Todi Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Stefano D'Agostino
M25 Fano · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Daniele Minighini
M25 Fano · 1st Round
Aug 4
Vladyslav Orlov
M25 Bolzano · 1st Round
Jul 28
Martin Van Der Meerschen
M15 Segrate · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Andrea Tognolini
M15 Segrate · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Andrea Tognolini
M15 Segrate · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Leonardo Borrelli
M15 Segrate · 1st Round
Jul 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–60 matches
| Metric | Ferrari | Mecarelli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 46% |
| Sets won | 57% | 46% |
| Games won | 53% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ferrari | Mecarelli |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 2 | 0 |
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ferrari | Mecarelli |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 3 | 0 |
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