Gianmarco Ferrari vs Michele MecarelliPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Gianmarco Ferrari and Michele Mecarelli have met 3 times since 2025; Gianmarco Ferrari leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 11 in 2025 on clay. On clay courts Ferrari leads 3–0. Ferrari has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Ferrari has taken 6 sets to Mecarelli's 2. Their most recent meeting: Gianmarco Ferrari won at M25 Grado (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ferrari | Mecarelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gianmarco Ferrari | Michele Mecarelli | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 78% | 29/37 | 66% | 19/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 7/30 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 22% | 15/67 | 35% | 19/54 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 22/37 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 43% | 10/23 | 54% | 14/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 8/17 | 43% | 6/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 33/36 | 76% | 22/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 29/36 | 66% | 19/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ferrari 1, Mecarelli 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ferrari
⚔️ The Gladiator
Mecarelli
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Michele Mecarelli.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 27, 2026
M25 Grado
C Clay · 1st Round
Nov 6, 2025
M15 San Gregorio di Catania 1
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 14, 2025
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 11
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ferrari | Mecarelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Gianmarco Ferrari | Michele Mecarelli | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 91% | 20/22 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 6/12 | 27% | 6/22 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 0% | 0/22 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/22 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/22 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/22 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ferrari | Mecarelli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–8 | 11–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.82 | 1.99 |
| ROI % | -41.1% | -10.0% |
| Units P/L | -5.75u | -1.90u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ferrari | Mecarelli |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 1 |
| Distance | 539 mi · 867 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ITA | ITA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 7 shared opponents, both Ferrari and Mecarelli posted a 43% win rate.
| Opponent | Ferrari | Mecarelli |
|---|---|---|
| Stefano D'Agostino | L | L 36 46 |
| Eric Vanshelboim | L 57 36 | W |
| Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | L 26 62 26 | L 16 16 |
| Leonardo Borrelli | W 76 60 | W 64 63 |
| Petr Nesterov | L 46 63 16 | L 46 26 |
| Josip Simundza | W 64 64 | W 61 57 63 |
| Lorenzo Bocchi | W 64 64 | L 46 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Stefano D'Agostino
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Oct 6
Filippo Moroni
Bari Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Eric Vanshelboim
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · Quarterfinals
Sep 24
Samuele Seghetti
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Giannicola Misasi
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 22
Izan Almazan Valiente
Biella Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Cesare Carpano
Biella Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Dragos Nicolae Madaras
M15 Telavi · Quarterfinals
Oct 1
Edoardo cherie Ligniere
M15 Telavi · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Aleksandre Shvangiradze
M15 Telavi · 1st Round
Sep 28
Dmitry Popko
M15 Telavi · Final
Sep 27
Dragos Nicolae Madaras
M15 Telavi · Semifinals
Sep 26
Edoardo cherie Ligniere
M15 Telavi · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Ruslan Tiukaev
M15 Telavi · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Artur Kukasian
M15 Telavi · 1st Round
Sep 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–67 matches
| Metric | Ferrari | Mecarelli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 54% |
| Sets won | 54% | 53% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ferrari | Mecarelli |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 2 | 0 |
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ferrari | Mecarelli |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 3 | 0 |
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