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Head-to-Head

Jaime Faria vs Shintaro MochizukiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Jaime Faria

🇵🇹Jaime Faria

#68 · 23 yrs · R

5
1–1

2 meetings · sets 2–2

Shintaro Mochizuki

🇯🇵Shintaro Mochizuki

#125 · 23 yrs · R

Jaime Faria and Shintaro Mochizuki have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Oeiras 4 Challenger in 2024 on clay. Across all meetings Faria has taken 2 sets to Mochizuki's 2. Their most recent meeting: Shintaro Mochizuki won at Nottingham 2 Challenger (2025).

Upcoming match

Tournament
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo
Level
ATP 500
Round
1st Round Qualifying
Surface
Hard
Date & time
September 28 · 2:30 AM ET

Book odds

Shintaro Mochizuki4.143.39
Jaime Faria1.221.31

Set spread

Mochizuki -1.55.65
Faria +1.51.11

Game spread

Mochizuki +41.78
Faria -41.88
MochizukiHard-court specialist (72%)FariaClay-court specialist (62%)

Record at prices like this

Shintaro Mochizuki3.39implies 22%won 24%+2 pts

At 3.39 or longer, Shintaro Mochizuki has won 10 of 41 (24%). That is level with the 22% the price implied.

Jaime Faria1.31implies 77%won 84%+7 pts

At 1.31 or shorter, Jaime Faria has won 16 of 19 (84%). The price implied 77%, so Jaime Faria has beaten it by 7 points.

Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.

Jaime Faria and Shintaro Mochizuki meet next at the Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo on September 28 on hard.

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Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorFariaMochizuki
Wins in straight sets61%61%
Wins a set when losing50%44%
Goes to a deciding set43%42%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite43%31%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog71%56%
Tiebreak sets won53%56%
Wins after taking set 177%83%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 161%58%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Faria 1, Mochizuki 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Faria

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies
vs

Mochizuki

🪃 Counterpuncher

Elite BP conversionStrong return gameDefensive consistencyRally tolerance

Matchup analysis

💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,088 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

2 career meetings, newest first

Jun 19, 2025

Nottingham 2 Challenger

G Grass · Quarterfinals

26
06
Mochizuki

May 13, 2024

Oeiras 4 Challenger

C Clay · 1st Round

62
64
Faria

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeFariaMochizuki
1 or more100%84%
3 or more100%47%
5 or more94%21%
10 or more38%0%
15 or more13%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricFariaMochizuki
W-L11–811–10
Avg odds2.592.96
ROI %+16.9%-1.6%
Units P/L+3.22u-0.34u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricFariaMochizuki
Countries33
Events34
Matches45
Distance8,639 mi · 13,903 km10,845 mi · 17,454 km
RouteUSA → CHN → JPNUSA → CHN → JPN

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Across 7 shared opponents, both Faria and Mochizuki posted a 43% win rate.

OpponentFariaMochizuki
Francesco Passaro
L
36
63
36
L
46
26
Luciano Darderi
L
62
57
26
W
63
63
Rafael Jodar
L
16
46
W
16
76
64
64
Sho Shimabukuro
W
76
63
67
63
L
67
46
Mackenzie McDonald
L
36
67
W
76
75
Lukas Neumayer
W
63
76
L
26
26
Stefano Travaglia
W
75
76
L
36
67

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Faria
LWLWLWWW
L

Hugo Gaston

Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round

64
657
46

Sep 25

W

Terence Atmane

Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round

36
769
64

Sep 24

L

Carlos Alcaraz

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

64
06
36
26

Sep 3

W

Jenson Brooksby

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

63
764
46
16
62

Aug 30

L

Lorenzo Musetti

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

57
26

Aug 20

W

Adam Walton

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

46
64
763

Aug 19

W

Ben Shelton

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

64
64

Aug 17

W

Jenson Brooksby

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round

63
62

Aug 15

Mochizuki
LWWLLLWW
L

Martin Damm

Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round

16
46

Sep 24

W

Pavel Kotov

Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 3rd Round Qualifying

75
63

Sep 23

W

Linang Xiao

Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying

75
46
75

Sep 22

L

Pavel Kotov

Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round

647
16

Sep 15

L

Jakub Mensik

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

16
46
57

Sep 1

L

Francesco Passaro

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying

46
26

Aug 28

W

Braden Shick

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying

64
61

Aug 26

W

Daniel Milavsky

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying

765
64

Aug 25

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ Farialevel↓ Mochizuki

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 64–80 matches

MetricFariaMochizuki
Matches won63%42%
Sets won59%45%
Games won52%48%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageFariaMochizuki
ATP Challenger Tour11

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceFariaMochizuki
Clay10
Grass01

Jaime Faria vs Shintaro Mochizuki FAQ

The head-to-head is level at 1–1 over 2 meetings.