Jacob Fearnley vs Tomas Martin EtcheverryPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- U.S. Open - New York
- Level
- Grand Slam
- Round
- 2nd Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 2 · 1:15 PM ET
Book odds
Record at prices like this
Priced around 2.00 or longer, Tomas Martin Etcheverry has won 30 of 70 matches, 43% against a fair-price expectation of 40%.
Priced around 1.80 or shorter, Jacob Fearnley has won 45 of 59 matches, 76% against a fair-price expectation of 61%.
Book prices only, with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Sample sizes below ten are not shown.
Tomas Martin Etcheverry and Jacob Fearnley meet in the 2nd Round of the U.S. Open on September 2, 2026. Etcheverry, ranked 32nd, has won his opening match to advance on the hard courts in New York. Fearnley, ranked 101st, also prevailed in round one and arrives off six matches in the past two weeks.
The two players have never faced each other. Etcheverry has taken just one win in his last five matches overall, though he won against Jurij Rodionov recently. Fearnley has won six of his last ten and carries a 60% win rate over his past five matches; he too beat Rodionov in an earlier encounter but fell to Mackenzie McDonald, who Etcheverry defeated.
Etcheverry relies on his serve as his primary weapon and has posted a 50% record on hard courts in recent play. Fearnley operates across all parts of the court with more versatility and holds a 55% hard court record from the same sample. Fearnley's depth of court coverage will test whether Etcheverry can sustain the serving performance that carried him through round one under sustained pressure.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Fearnley | Martin Etcheverry | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jacob Fearnley | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 18/33 | 55% | 18/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 11/22 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 47% | 26/55 | 45% | 25/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 14/39 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 15/27 | 61% | 20/33 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 96% | 23/24 | 80% | 24/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 18/24 | 60% | 18/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fearnley
🎾 All-Court
Etcheverry
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🎾 All-Court across 707 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tomas Martin Etcheverry.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Fearnley and Etcheverry have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fearnley | Etcheverry | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jacob Fearnley | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | ||
| 1 or more | 96% | 26/27 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 70% | 19/27 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 5 or more | 48% | 13/27 | 46% | 5/11 |
| 10 or more | 4% | 1/27 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/27 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/27 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fearnley | Etcheverry |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 20–7 | 2–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.68 | 2.31 |
| ROI % | +14.3% | -60.8% |
| Units P/L | +3.86u | -5.47u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fearnley | Etcheverry |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 4 | 3 |
| Matches | 10 | 3 |
| Distance | 2,012 mi · 3,238 km | 1,279 mi · 2,059 km |
| Route | CAN → USA → CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Etcheverry has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Fearnley's 71%).
| Opponent | Fearnley | Etcheverry |
|---|---|---|
| Jurij Rodionov | L 64 46 46 | W 62 76 |
| Mackenzie McDonald | W 64 75 | W 67 76 63 |
| Sebastian Ofner | W 76 62 | W 64 64 |
| Mark Lajal | W 75 36 61 | W 76 67 63 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 16 67 | W 61 64 |
| Damir Dzumhur | W 63 63 | W 62 64 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | W 36 63 107 | W 63 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Martin Landaluce
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jurij Rodionov
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Luka Pavlovic
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Roberto Carballes Baena
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Alexis Galarneau
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Mackenzie McDonald
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Nicolas Mejia
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Vit Kopriva
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Terence Atmane
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Nuno Borges
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Brandon Nakashima
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexander Bublik
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Semifinals
Jul 24
Ignacio Buse
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Jurij Rodionov
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Matchup videos
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–62 matches
| Metric | Fearnley | Etcheverry |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 58% |
| Sets won | 54% | 54% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |