J.J. Wolf vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈJ.J. Wolf
#223 Β· 27 yrs Β· R
33 meetings Β· sets 7β1

πͺπΈRoberto Carballes Baena
#258 Β· 33 yrs Β· R
5wJ.J. Wolf and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 3 times since 2020; J.J. Wolf leads 3β0. Their first meeting came at Noumea Challenger in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Wolf leads 3β0. Wolf has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Wolf has taken 7 sets to Baena's 1. Their most recent meeting: J.J. Wolf won at ATP Masters 1000 Paris (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Wolf | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | J.J. Wolf | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 19/30 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 4/10 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 15/40 | 43% | 20/46 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 13/30 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 80% | 4/5 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 7/14 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 25/27 | 83% | 20/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 19/27 | 58% | 14/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Wolf 1, Carballes Baena 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Wolf
π The Complete Package
Baena
πͺ Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The π The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs πͺ Counterpuncher across 1,744 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward J.J. Wolf.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 29, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard Β· 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 3, 2020
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Jan 7, 2020
Noumea Challenger
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Wolf | Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | J.J. Wolf | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 5 or more | 65% | 11/17 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 18% | 3/17 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Wolf | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12β6 | 2β4 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | +9.8% | -54.3% |
| Units P/L | +1.76u | -3.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Wolf | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | β |
| Events | 3 | β |
| Matches | 5 | β |
| Distance | 2,418 mi Β· 3,891 km | β |
| Route | USA | β |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Wolf has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Baena's 50%).
| Opponent | Wolf | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob Fearnley | L 67 64 36 | L 67 36 |
| Shintaro Mochizuki | W 62 26 63 | W 60 63 |
| Zhizhen Zhang | W 76 36 64 | L 46 46 |
| Colton Smith | W 76 63 | W 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Dylan Dietrich
Columbus Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 29
Darwin Blanch
San Diego 2 Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 22
Michael Mmoh
Tiburon Challenger Β· Semifinals
Sep 20
Sebastian Gorzny
Tiburon Challenger Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Braden Shick
Tiburon Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Sep 16
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Tiburon Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 14
Alexander Bublik
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 31
James Duckworth
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 14
Alexander Ritschard
Seville Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 8
Pedro Vives Marcos
Porto Challenger Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Porto Challenger Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Jacob Fearnley
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger Β· 1st Round
Jul 21
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Nordea Open - Bastad Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 41β46 matches
| Metric | Wolf | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 73% | 52% |
| Sets won | 66% | 52% |
| Games won | 55% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Wolf | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Wolf | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
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