Illya Marchenko vs Sebastian OfnerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Illya Marchenko and Sebastian Ofner have met 3 times since 2019; Sebastian Ofner leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Nur-Sultan in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Ofner leads 2–1. Across all meetings Marchenko has taken 3 sets to Ofner's 4. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Ofner won at Istanbul Challenger (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Marchenko | Ofner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Illya Marchenko | Sebastian Ofner | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 3/6 | 76% | 22/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 0% | 0/1 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 43% | 3/7 | 33% | 17/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 75% | 3/4 | 59% | 20/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/1 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 2/6 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 5/5 | 83% | 24/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 3/5 | 76% | 22/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Marchenko 1, Ofner 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Marchenko
🤖 Servebot
Ofner
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 14, 2022
Istanbul Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Nov 16, 2020
Ortisei Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 9, 2019
Nur-Sultan
H Hard · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Marchenko | Ofner |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 2–6 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.04 |
| ROI % | - | -56.4% |
| Units P/L | - | -4.51u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Masaya Kobayashi
M15 Antalya 4 · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 22
Carlos Sanchez Jover
M25 Antalya 1 · 2nd Round
Jan 8
Cagan Efe Tufecki
M25 Antalya · Round of 32
Jan 7
Cagan Efe Tufekci
M25 Antalya 1 · 1st Round
Jan 7
Pavle Daljev
M25 Antalya 1 · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jan 6
Aristeidis Lafazanos
M25 Antalya 1 · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 5
Minghui Zhang
M25 Qian Daohu 1 · 1st Round
Oct 29
Minghui Zhang
M25 Qian Daohu · Round of 32
Oct 29
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Seville Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Alexander Ritschard
Seville Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Felix Gill
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Edas Butvilas
Manacor Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Kei Nishikori
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Roman Safiullin
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Jacob Fearnley
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 7–55 matches
| Metric | Marchenko | Ofner |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 55% |
| Sets won | 71% | 54% |
| Games won | 59% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Marchenko | Ofner |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Marchenko | Ofner |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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