Illya Marchenko vs Sebastian OfnerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Illya Marchenko and Sebastian Ofner have met 3 times since 2019; Sebastian Ofner leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Nur-Sultan in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Ofner leads 2–1. Across all meetings Marchenko has taken 3 sets to Ofner's 4. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Ofner won at Istanbul Challenger (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Marchenko | Ofner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Illya Marchenko | Sebastian Ofner | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 2/4 | 73% | 19/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 0% | 0/1 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 2/5 | 33% | 15/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 2/3 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/1 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 2/6 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 4/4 | 84% | 21/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 2/4 | 76% | 19/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Marchenko 1, Ofner 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Marchenko
💥 Big Hitter
Ofner
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 14, 2022
Istanbul Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Nov 16, 2020
Ortisei Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 9, 2019
Nur-Sultan
H Hard · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Marchenko | Ofner |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.07 |
| ROI % | - | -15.7% |
| Units P/L | - | -1.88u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Marchenko | Ofner |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | MEX |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Carlos Sanchez Jover
M25 Antalya 1 · 2nd Round
Jan 8
Cagan Efe Tufecki
M25 Antalya · Round of 32
Jan 7
Cagan Efe Tufekci
M25 Antalya 1 · 1st Round
Jan 7
Minghui Zhang
M25 Qian Daohu 1 · 1st Round
Oct 29
Minghui Zhang
M25 Qian Daohu · Round of 32
Oct 29
Christian Langmo
Brisbane 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Jan 28
Thomas Braithwaite
Brisbane 1 · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 27
Joshua Charlton
Brisbane 1 · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 26
Roman Safiullin
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Alex Molcan
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 21
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Dalibor Svrcina
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Daniel Rincon
Braunschweig Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Norbert Gombos
Braunschweig Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Hamad Medjedovic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 5–48 matches
| Metric | Marchenko | Ofner |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 80% | 56% |
| Sets won | 67% | 54% |
| Games won | 57% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Marchenko | Ofner |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Marchenko | Ofner |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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