Hugo Grenier vs Luca NardiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hugo Grenier and Luca Nardi have met 3 times since 2022; Luca Nardi leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Lugano Challenger in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Nardi leads 2–0. Nardi has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Grenier has taken 0 sets to Nardi's 6. Their most recent meeting: Luca Nardi won at Chisinau Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Grenier | Nardi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hugo Grenier | Luca Nardi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 14/25 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 18/46 | 48% | 19/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 12/24 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 10/21 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 9/18 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 18/23 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 14/23 | 65% | 13/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Grenier 0, Nardi 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Grenier
💥 Big Hitter
Nardi
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 554 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 25, 2026
Chisinau Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Sep 25, 2023
Orleans Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 28, 2022
Lugano Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Grenier | Nardi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hugo Grenier | Luca Nardi | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 5/7 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 10 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Grenier | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 3.19 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | +4.8% | -38.1% |
| Units P/L | +0.43u | -3.43u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Grenier | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nardi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Grenier's 33%).
| Opponent | Grenier | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Pablo Carreno Busta | L 64 16 46 | L 76 46 67 |
| Ugo Blanchet | L 67 46 | W 64 64 |
| Edas Butvilas | W 46 76 64 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sebastian Baez
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Roman Safiullin
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 25
Cyril Vandermeersch
Pozoblanco Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 13
Paul Inchauspe
M25 Ajaccio · 2nd Round
Jul 3
Tristan Berard
M25 Ajaccio · 1st Round
Jul 1
Tristan Berard
Futures 2026
Jun 30
Jaime Faria
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Oliver Okonkwo
Lexus Nottingham Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Andrea Guerrieri
Umag
Jul 11
Otto Virtanen
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Rio Noguchi
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Remy Bertola
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 15
Giles Hussey
Lexus Nottingham Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Oscar Weightman
Lexus Nottingham Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Jacob Fearnley
Ilkley Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 10
Remy Bertola
Perugia Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–46 matches
| Metric | Grenier | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 44% |
| Sets won | 52% | 50% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Grenier | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Grenier | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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