Hugo Gaston vs Yannick MertensPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ซ๐ทHugo Gaston
#88 ยท 25 yrs ยท L
31 meeting ยท sets 2โ0
๐ง๐ชYannick Mertens
Unranked
179wHugo Gaston and Yannick Mertens have met 1 time since 2022; Hugo Gaston leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Gaston has taken 2 sets to Mertens's 0. Their most recent meeting: Hugo Gaston won at Rennes (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gaston | Mertens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hugo Gaston | Yannick Mertens | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 22/35 | โ | |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 8/22 | โ | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 21/57 | โ | |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 17/35 | โ | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 12/21 | โ | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 10/16 | โ | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 27/30 | โ | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 22/30 | โ | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample โ read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gaston 1, Mertens 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gaston
๐ช Counterpuncher
Mertens
๐น Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The ๐น Frontrunner archetype wins about 54% vs ๐ช Counterpuncher across 657 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Yannick Mertens.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 13, 2022
Rennes
H Hard ยท Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Gaston | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10โ6 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.96 | - |
| ROI % | +7.8% | - |
| Units P/L | +1.24u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gaston | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | โ |
| Events | 1 | โ |
| Matches | 2 | โ |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | โ |
| Route | CAN | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Luca Van Assche
Quebec City Challenger ยท Semifinals
Aug 22
Jesper de Jong
Quebec City Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril ยท Semifinals
Jul 25
Tiago Torres
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Titouan Droguet
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril ยท 2nd Round
Jul 22
Daniel Altmaier
Nordea Open - Bastad ยท 1st Round
Jul 14
Jan Choinski
Braunschweig Challenger ยท Final
Jul 12
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Braunschweig Challenger ยท Semifinals
Jul 11
James McCabe
Lille ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 26
Joao Domingues
Tenerife 3 ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 5
Lucas Gerch
Tenerife 1 ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 15
Arthur Cazaux
Roanne ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 6
Jesper de Jong
Antwerp ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 16
Hugo Gaston
Rennes ยท Round of 32
Sep 13
Luke Johnson
Rennes ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 12
Ivan Liutarevich
Rennes ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 11
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 61โ61 matches
| Metric | Gaston | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | - |
| Sets won | 56% | - |
| Games won | 52% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Gaston | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Gaston | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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