Hugo Gaston vs Yannick MertensPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hugo Gaston and Yannick Mertens have met 1 time since 2022; Hugo Gaston leads 1–0. Across all meetings Gaston has taken 2 sets to Mertens's 0. Their most recent meeting: Hugo Gaston won at Rennes Challenger (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gaston | Mertens | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hugo Gaston | Yannick Mertens | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 21/32 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 9/23 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/55 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 16/34 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 12/20 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 61% | 11/18 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 24/29 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 21/29 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gaston 1, Mertens 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gaston
🪃 Counterpuncher
Mertens
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 979 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Yannick Mertens.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 13, 2022
Rennes Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gaston | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.43 | - |
| ROI % | -2.1% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.30u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gaston | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 103 mi · 165 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Liam Draxl
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Jaime Faria
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Sho Shimabukuro
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Colton Smith
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Andre Ilagan
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Guido Ivan Justo
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
James McCabe
Lille · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 26
Joao Domingues
Tenerife 3 · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 5
Lucas Gerch
Tenerife 1 · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 15
Arthur Cazaux
Roanne · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 6
Jesper de Jong
Antwerp · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 16
Hugo Gaston
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 13
Luke Johnson
Rennes · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 12
Ivan Liutarevich
Rennes · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 11
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–60 matches
| Metric | Gaston | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | - |
| Sets won | 54% | - |
| Games won | 51% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Gaston | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Gaston | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.