Hugo Gaston vs Yannick HanfmannPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hugo Gaston and Yannick Hanfmann have met 5 times since 2021; Yannick Hanfmann leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Szczecin Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Hanfmann leads 3–1. Across all meetings Gaston has taken 5 sets to Hanfmann's 9. Their most recent meeting: Hugo Gaston won at ATP Masters 1000 Madrid (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gaston | Hanfmann | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hugo Gaston | Yannick Hanfmann | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 22/35 | 66% | 27/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 8/22 | 29% | 7/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 21/57 | 32% | 21/65 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 17/35 | 51% | 20/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 12/21 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 10/16 | 47% | 17/36 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 27/30 | 94% | 34/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 22/30 | 75% | 27/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gaston 0, Hanfmann 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gaston
🪃 Counterpuncher
Hanfmann
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Yannick Hanfmann.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Apr 21, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 5, 2025
Adelaide
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 6, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 12, 2023
Buenos Aires
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2021
Szczecin Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Gaston | Hanfmann | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hugo Gaston | Yannick Hanfmann | ||
| 1 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 100% | 19/19 |
| 3 or more | 46% | 6/13 | 100% | 19/19 |
| 5 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 84% | 16/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 42% | 8/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 16% | 3/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 5% | 1/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gaston | Hanfmann |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 11–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.96 | 2.18 |
| ROI % | +7.8% | +4.6% |
| Units P/L | +1.24u | +0.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gaston | Hanfmann |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Gaston has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Hanfmann's 50%).
| Opponent | Gaston | Hanfmann |
|---|---|---|
| Luca Van Assche | L 46 46 | W 62 64 |
| Jesper de Jong | W 76 61 | W 76 64 |
| Karen Khachanov | L 63 36 67 | L 36 46 46 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 62 46 26 16 | L 16 57 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 62 64 | W 62 57 75 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | L 16 75 67 | W 67 64 64 |
| Terence Atmane | W 64 61 | L 46 67 |
| Eliot Spizzirri | W 26 62 61 | L 57 64 46 |
| Calvin Hemery | W 61 76 | W 63 64 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | W 64 36 61 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Luca Van Assche
Quebec City Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 22
Jesper de Jong
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Semifinals
Jul 25
Tiago Torres
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Titouan Droguet
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Daniel Altmaier
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Jan Choinski
Braunschweig Challenger · Final
Jul 12
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Braunschweig Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Luca Van Assche
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Nuno Borges
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Flavio Cobolli
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Benjamin Bonzi
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Semifinals
Jul 24
Sebastian Baez
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Marco Trungelliti
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–70 matches
| Metric | Gaston | Hanfmann |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 61% |
| Sets won | 56% | 57% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Gaston | Hanfmann |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Gaston | Hanfmann |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 3 |
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