Hugo Gaston vs Yannick HanfmannPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hugo Gaston and Yannick Hanfmann have met 5 times since 2021; Yannick Hanfmann leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Szczecin Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Hanfmann leads 3–1. Across all meetings Gaston has taken 5 sets to Hanfmann's 9. Their most recent meeting: Hugo Gaston won at ATP Masters 1000 Madrid (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gaston | Hanfmann | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hugo Gaston | Yannick Hanfmann | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 21/32 | 69% | 24/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 9/23 | 26% | 6/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/55 | 29% | 17/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 16/34 | 53% | 18/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 12/20 | 40% | 8/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 61% | 11/18 | 53% | 19/36 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 24/29 | 97% | 31/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 21/29 | 75% | 24/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gaston 0, Hanfmann 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gaston
🪃 Counterpuncher
Hanfmann
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Yannick Hanfmann.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Apr 21, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 5, 2025
Adelaide
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 6, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 12, 2023
Buenos Aires
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2021
Szczecin Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Gaston | Hanfmann | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hugo Gaston | Yannick Hanfmann | ||
| 1 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 5 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 39% | 5/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 23% | 3/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 15% | 2/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gaston | Hanfmann |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | 7–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.43 | 2.12 |
| ROI % | -2.1% | -2.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.30u | -0.28u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gaston | Hanfmann |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 103 mi · 165 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Hanfmann has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Gaston's 43%).
| Opponent | Gaston | Hanfmann |
|---|---|---|
| Luca Van Assche | L 46 46 | W 62 64 |
| Jesper de Jong | W 76 61 | W 76 64 |
| Karen Khachanov | L 63 36 67 | L 36 46 46 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 62 46 26 16 | L 16 57 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 62 64 | W 62 57 75 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | L 16 75 67 | W 67 64 64 |
| Terence Atmane | W 64 61 | L 46 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Liam Draxl
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Jaime Faria
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Sho Shimabukuro
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Colton Smith
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Andre Ilagan
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Guido Ivan Justo
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Frances Tiafoe
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Kamil Majchrzak
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Tomas Machac
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Alejandro Tabilo
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Luca Van Assche
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Nuno Borges
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Flavio Cobolli
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–64 matches
| Metric | Gaston | Hanfmann |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 58% |
| Sets won | 54% | 54% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Gaston | Hanfmann |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Gaston | Hanfmann |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 3 |
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