Hugo Gaston vs Sho ShimabukuroPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hugo Gaston and Sho Shimabukuro have met 1 time since 2023; Hugo Gaston leads 1–0. Across all meetings Gaston has taken 3 sets to Shimabukuro's 0. Their most recent meeting: Hugo Gaston won at U.S. Open - New York (2023).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou
- Level
- ATP 250
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 22 · 10:00 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.84 or shorter, Sho Shimabukuro has won 55 of 88 (63%). The price implied 58%, so Sho Shimabukuro has beaten it by 5 points.
At 1.91 or longer, Hugo Gaston has won 45 of 125 (36%). The price implied 41%, so Hugo Gaston has fallen 5 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Hugo Gaston and Sho Shimabukuro meet next at the Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou on September 22 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gaston | Shimabukuro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hugo Gaston | Sho Shimabukuro | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 21/34 | 70% | 33/47 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 10/24 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 23/58 | 34% | 25/74 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 16/36 | 52% | 22/42 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 11/20 | 59% | 17/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 10/16 | 67% | 16/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 25/29 | 88% | 42/48 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 21/29 | 69% | 33/48 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gaston
🪃 Counterpuncher
Shimabukuro
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,459 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Sho Shimabukuro.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 28, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Gaston | Shimabukuro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hugo Gaston | Sho Shimabukuro | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 38% | 6/16 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 5 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gaston | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–8 | 4–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.15 | 2.12 |
| ROI % | +1.6% | -50.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.30u | -5.58u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gaston | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 464 mi · 747 km |
| Route | USA | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shimabukuro has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Gaston's 40%).
| Opponent | Gaston | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Colton Smith | W 16 64 62 | W 76 75 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | L 26 63 46 | W 63 64 |
| Aleksandr Shevchenko | L 16 63 16 | L 46 63 26 |
| Keegan Smith | W 36 63 62 | L 75 06 36 |
| Martin Landaluce | L 36 26 | W 62 67 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Colton Smith
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Andre Ilagan
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Guido Ivan Justo
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Luca Van Assche
Quebec City Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 22
Jesper de Jong
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Alexei Popyrin
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Anton Shepp
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NZL-JPN 1-3 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
James Watt
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NZL-JPN 1-3 · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Arthur Rinderknech
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Miomir Kecmanovic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
J.J. Wolf
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Hugo Dellien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Marin Cilic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–76 matches
| Metric | Gaston | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 62% |
| Sets won | 54% | 59% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Gaston | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Gaston | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |