Hugo Gaston vs Marvin MoellerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hugo Gaston and Marvin Moeller have met 1 time since 2026; Hugo Gaston leads 1–0. Across all meetings Gaston has taken 2 sets to Moeller's 0. Their most recent meeting: Hugo Gaston won at Braunschweig Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gaston | Moeller | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hugo Gaston | Marvin Moeller | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 22/35 | 70% | 39/56 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 8/22 | 27% | 8/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 21/57 | 29% | 25/86 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 17/35 | 51% | 25/49 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 12/21 | 59% | 16/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 10/16 | 61% | 19/31 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 27/30 | 89% | 48/54 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 22/30 | 72% | 39/54 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gaston 1, Moeller 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gaston
🪃 Counterpuncher
Moeller
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Hugo Gaston and Marvin Moeller are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,818 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 10, 2026
Braunschweig Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Gaston | Moeller | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hugo Gaston | Marvin Moeller | ||
| 1 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 83% | 20/24 |
| 3 or more | 46% | 6/13 | 54% | 13/24 |
| 5 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 8% | 2/24 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/24 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/24 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/24 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gaston | Moeller |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 21–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.96 | 1.71 |
| ROI % | +7.8% | +21.1% |
| Units P/L | +1.24u | +5.71u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gaston | Moeller |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 9 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 741 mi · 1,192 km |
| Route | CAN | GER → SUI → GER |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Gaston has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Moeller's 75%).
| Opponent | Gaston | Moeller |
|---|---|---|
| Matej Dodig | W 36 63 63 | W 62 64 |
| Mika Petkovic | W 67 64 61 | L 64 46 36 |
| Calvin Hemery | W 61 76 | W 76 76 |
| Alec Deckers | W 63 67 76 | W 76 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Luca Van Assche
Quebec City Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 22
Jesper de Jong
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Semifinals
Jul 25
Tiago Torres
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Titouan Droguet
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Daniel Altmaier
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Jan Choinski
Braunschweig Challenger · Final
Jul 12
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Braunschweig Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Cezar Cretu
Augsburg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Matias Soto
Augsburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Thomas Faurel
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Dimitar Kuzmanov
Sion Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Jan Kumstat
Hamburg Challenger · Final
Aug 16
Matej Dodig
Hamburg Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 15
Niels McDonald
Hamburg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Raul Brancaccio
Hamburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–86 matches
| Metric | Gaston | Moeller |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 65% |
| Sets won | 56% | 61% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Gaston | Moeller |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Gaston | Moeller |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.