Hugo Gaston vs Liam DraxlPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
- Level
- ATP Masters 1000
- Round
- 1st Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 5 · 12:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.64 or shorter, Hugo Gaston has won 79 of 123 (64%). That is level with the 65% the price implied.
At 2.22 or longer, Liam Draxl has won 7 of 36 (19%). The price implied 36%, so Liam Draxl has fallen 17 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Hugo Gaston and Liam Draxl meet next at the Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai on October 5 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gaston | Draxl | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hugo Gaston | Liam Draxl | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 22/36 | 54% | 21/39 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 33% | 9/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 24/59 | 41% | 27/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 17/36 | 45% | 18/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 62% | 13/21 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 46% | 12/26 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 26/31 | 86% | 30/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 22/31 | 60% | 21/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gaston
🪃 Counterpuncher
Draxl
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Hugo Gaston and Liam Draxl are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,214 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Gaston and Draxl have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Gaston | Draxl | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hugo Gaston | Liam Draxl | ||
| 1 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 94% | 17/18 |
| 3 or more | 44% | 8/18 | 61% | 11/18 |
| 5 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 39% | 7/18 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 11% | 2/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gaston | Draxl |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–8 | 12–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.29 | 1.73 |
| ROI % | +6.3% | +2.7% |
| Units P/L | +1.19u | +0.52u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gaston | Draxl |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| Distance | 103 mi · 165 km | 6,592 mi · 10,609 km |
| Route | CHN | USA → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Gaston has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Draxl's 33%).
| Opponent | Gaston | Draxl |
|---|---|---|
| Jesper de Jong | W 76 61 | L 64 16 36 |
| Damir Dzumhur | W | L 57 06 46 |
| Ignacio Buse | L 16 26 | L 46 67 |
| Darwin Blanch | L 63 36 06 | W 64 64 |
| Nishesh Basavareddy | L 46 16 | L 36 67 |
| Alexis Galarneau | W 64 36 64 | W 36 61 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Jaime Faria
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Sho Shimabukuro
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Colton Smith
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Andre Ilagan
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Guido Ivan Justo
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Luca Van Assche
Quebec City Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 22
Henry Searle
San Diego 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Jack Kennedy
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Arthur Rinderknech
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Tristan Schoolkate
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Andrew Johnson
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Nicolas Mejia
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Andy Andrade
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 64–67 matches
| Metric | Gaston | Draxl |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 58% |
| Sets won | 55% | 54% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |