Hugo Gaston vs Jesper de JongPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hugo Gaston and Jesper de Jong have met 2 times since 2021; Hugo Gaston leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Braga Challenger in 2021 on clay. Gaston has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Gaston has taken 4 sets to Jong's 0. Their most recent meeting: Hugo Gaston won at Quebec City Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gaston | de Jong | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hugo Gaston | Jesper de Jong | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 22/35 | 44% | 11/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 8/22 | 30% | 8/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 21/57 | 42% | 22/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 17/35 | 27% | 9/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 12/21 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 10/16 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 27/30 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 22/30 | 55% | 11/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gaston 2, de Jong 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gaston
🪃 Counterpuncher
Jong
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 21, 2026
Quebec City Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 24, 2021
Braga Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Gaston | Jong | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hugo Gaston | Jesper de Jong | ||
| 1 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 46% | 6/13 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 5 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 63% | 10/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 25% | 4/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 19% | 3/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gaston | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.96 | 2.10 |
| ROI % | +7.8% | -9.7% |
| Units P/L | +1.24u | -1.55u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gaston | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,731 mi · 2,785 km |
| Route | CAN | USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Gaston has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Jong's 50%).
| Opponent | Gaston | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | W 64 36 61 | W 63 61 |
| Timofey Skatov | W 76 76 | L 61 46 36 |
| Jan Choinski | L 64 06 46 | L 16 67 |
| Federico Cina | W 75 64 | W 63 61 63 |
| Karen Khachanov | L 63 36 67 | W 75 57 62 67 62 |
| Stan Wawrinka | W 64 64 | W 63 36 63 64 |
| Gianluca Cadenasso | W 64 64 | L 46 75 36 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | L 16 75 67 | L 46 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Luca Van Assche
Quebec City Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 22
Jesper de Jong
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Semifinals
Jul 25
Tiago Torres
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Titouan Droguet
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Daniel Altmaier
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Jan Choinski
Braunschweig Challenger · Final
Jul 12
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Braunschweig Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Adam Walton
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Hugo Gaston
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Dane Sweeny
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Alex Michelsen
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Timofey Skatov
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Sebastian Baez
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Vilius Gaubas
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–61 matches
| Metric | Gaston | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 49% |
| Sets won | 56% | 46% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Gaston | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Gaston | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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