Hugo Gaston vs Jesper de JongPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hugo Gaston and Jesper de Jong have met 2 times since 2021; Hugo Gaston leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Braga Challenger in 2021 on clay. Gaston has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Gaston has taken 4 sets to Jong's 0. Their most recent meeting: Hugo Gaston won at Quebec City Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gaston | de Jong | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hugo Gaston | Jesper de Jong | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 21/32 | 50% | 12/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 9/23 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/55 | 43% | 21/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 16/34 | 29% | 10/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 12/20 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 61% | 11/18 | 70% | 14/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 24/29 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 21/29 | 57% | 12/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gaston 2, de Jong 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gaston
🪃 Counterpuncher
Jong
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,744 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jesper de Jong.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 21, 2026
Quebec City Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 24, 2021
Braga Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Gaston | Jong | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hugo Gaston | Jesper de Jong | ||
| 1 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 5 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gaston | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | 5–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.43 | 1.96 |
| ROI % | -2.1% | -40.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.30u | -5.25u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gaston | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 103 mi · 165 km | 793 mi · 1,276 km |
| Route | CHN | FRA → POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Jong has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Gaston's 30%).
| Opponent | Gaston | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Liam Draxl | L 57 46 | W 46 61 63 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 76 67 16 | L 46 36 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 46 26 46 | L 57 26 67 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | L 26 63 46 | W 63 61 |
| Timofey Skatov | W 76 76 | L 61 46 36 |
| Jan Choinski | L 64 06 46 | L 16 67 |
| Federico Cina | W 75 64 | W 63 61 63 |
| Karen Khachanov | L 63 36 67 | W 75 57 62 67 62 |
| Gianluca Cadenasso | W 64 64 | L 46 75 36 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | L 16 75 67 | L 46 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Liam Draxl
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Jaime Faria
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Sho Shimabukuro
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Colton Smith
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Andre Ilagan
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Guido Ivan Justo
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
David Jorda Sanchis
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Harold Mayot
St. Tropez Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Andrea Guerrieri
St. Tropez Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Remy Bertola
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Samuel Heredia
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NED-COL 4-0 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Zizou Bergs
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Francesco Passaro
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Adam Walton
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–60 matches
| Metric | Gaston | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 50% |
| Sets won | 54% | 47% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Gaston | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Gaston | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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