Hugo Gaston vs Jan ChoinskiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hugo Gaston and Jan Choinski have met 1 time since 2026; Jan Choinski leads 1–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Choinski leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Gaston has taken 1 sets to Choinski's 2. Their most recent meeting: Jan Choinski won at Braunschweig Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gaston | Choinski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hugo Gaston | Jan Choinski | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 22/35 | 56% | 27/48 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 8/22 | 39% | 11/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 21/57 | 42% | 32/76 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 17/35 | 43% | 20/46 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 12/21 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 10/16 | 48% | 16/33 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 27/30 | 92% | 33/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 22/30 | 75% | 27/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gaston 0, Choinski 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gaston
🪃 Counterpuncher
Choinski
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 12, 2026
Braunschweig Challenger
C Clay · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Gaston | Choinski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hugo Gaston | Jan Choinski | ||
| 1 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 100% | 28/28 |
| 3 or more | 46% | 6/13 | 96% | 27/28 |
| 5 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 71% | 20/28 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 25% | 7/28 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 7% | 2/28 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/28 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gaston | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 18–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.96 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | +7.8% | +5.7% |
| Units P/L | +1.24u | +1.53u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gaston | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 4 |
| Matches | 2 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 5,992 mi · 9,643 km |
| Route | CAN | GER → USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Gaston has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs Choinski's 56%).
| Opponent | Gaston | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Jesper de Jong | W 76 61 | W 61 76 |
| Titouan Droguet | W 60 63 | L 26 67 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 62 64 | W 63 75 62 |
| Federico Cina | W 75 64 | L 16 57 |
| Felix Gill | L 67 76 26 | W 64 67 62 |
| Arthur Fery | W 76 75 | W 57 76 62 |
| Marko Topo | W 61 62 | L 67 46 |
| Andrea Pellegrino | L 16 36 | W 62 36 61 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | W 64 36 61 | L 46 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Luca Van Assche
Quebec City Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 22
Jesper de Jong
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Semifinals
Jul 25
Tiago Torres
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Titouan Droguet
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Daniel Altmaier
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Jan Choinski
Braunschweig Challenger · Final
Jul 12
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Braunschweig Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jamie Mackenzie
Bonn Challenger · Final
Aug 2
Federico Agustin Gomez
Bonn Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Alex Barrena
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Francesco Passaro
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 27
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–78 matches
| Metric | Gaston | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 63% |
| Sets won | 56% | 58% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Gaston | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Gaston | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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