Hugo Gaston vs Jaime FariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hugo Gaston and Jaime Faria have met 1 time since 2026; Hugo Gaston leads 1–0. Across all meetings Gaston has taken 2 sets to Faria's 1. Their most recent meeting: Hugo Gaston won at Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gaston | Faria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hugo Gaston | Jaime Faria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 21/32 | 60% | 27/45 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 9/23 | 52% | 14/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/55 | 44% | 32/72 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 16/34 | 43% | 20/46 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 12/20 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 61% | 11/18 | 53% | 18/34 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 24/29 | 78% | 35/45 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 21/29 | 60% | 27/45 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gaston 0, Faria 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gaston
🪃 Counterpuncher
Faria
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jaime Faria.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 25, 2026
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Gaston | Faria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hugo Gaston | Jaime Faria | ||
| 1 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 3 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 5 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 41% | 7/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gaston | Faria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | 11–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.43 | 2.42 |
| ROI % | -2.1% | +10.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.30u | +2.07u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gaston | Faria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 7 |
| Distance | 103 mi · 165 km | 2,283 mi · 3,674 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Gaston has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Faria's 70%).
| Opponent | Gaston | Faria |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Fery | W 76 75 | W 64 36 64 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 76 67 16 | L 46 36 64 57 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | W 64 64 | W 76 63 67 63 |
| Terence Atmane | W 64 61 | W 36 76 64 |
| Colton Smith | W 16 64 62 | W 61 36 63 |
| Titouan Droguet | W 60 63 | L 67 26 |
| Christopher O'Connell | L 26 36 | L 76 26 46 |
| Tiago Torres | W 63 64 | W 63 64 |
| Damir Dzumhur | W | W 76 64 |
| Moez Echargui | W 61 57 62 64 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Liam Draxl
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Jaime Faria
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Sho Shimabukuro
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Colton Smith
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Andre Ilagan
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Guido Ivan Justo
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Arthur Gea
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Arthur Fery
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Shintaro Mochizuki
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Terence Atmane
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Carlos Alcaraz
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–82 matches
| Metric | Gaston | Faria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 62% |
| Sets won | 54% | 59% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Gaston | Faria |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Gaston | Faria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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