Hubert Hurkacz vs Roger FedererPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hubert Hurkacz and Roger Federer have met 2 times since 2019; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells in 2019 on hard. Across all meetings Hurkacz has taken 3 sets to Federer's 2. Their most recent meeting: Hubert Hurkacz won at Wimbledon (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Hurkacz | Federer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hubert Hurkacz | Roger Federer | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 12/19 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 8/15 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 44% | 15/34 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 9/24 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 80% | 8/10 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 11/21 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 16/22 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 55% | 12/22 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Hurkacz 0, Federer 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Hurkacz
🤖 Servebot
Federer
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 11, 2021
Wimbledon
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Mar 14, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Hurkacz | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–4 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.52 | - |
| ROI % | +11.4% | - |
| Units P/L | +1.71u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Hurkacz | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 9 | — |
| Distance | 1,959 mi · 3,153 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA → MEX | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sebastian Baez
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Moez Echargui
Cancun Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 23
Roman Safiullin
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Henrique Rocha
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Tommy Paul
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Sho Shimabukuro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Alejandro Tabilo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Richard Gasquet
Wimbledon · Round of 64
Jul 11
Adrian Mannarino
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jul 11
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon · Quarterfinals
Jul 11
Lorenzo Sonego
Wimbledon · Round of 16
Jul 11
Cameron Norrie
Wimbledon · Round of 32
Jul 11
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Halle · Round of 16
Jun 14
Ilya Ivashka
Halle · Round of 32
Jun 14
Dominik Koepfer
Roland Garros · Round of 32
Jun 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–42 matches
| Metric | Hurkacz | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | - |
| Sets won | 57% | - |
| Games won | 53% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Hurkacz | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Hurkacz | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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