Henrique Rocha vs Jan ChoinskiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Henrique Rocha and Jan Choinski have met 3 times since 2025; Henrique Rocha leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Prague Challenger in 2025 on clay. On clay courts Rocha leads 2–1. Rocha has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Rocha has taken 4 sets to Choinski's 3. Their most recent meeting: Henrique Rocha won at Mutua Madrid Open (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rocha | Choinski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Henrique Rocha | Jan Choinski | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 27/37 | 56% | 27/48 |
| Wins a set when losing | 48% | 12/25 | 39% | 11/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 22/62 | 42% | 32/76 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 19/42 | 43% | 20/46 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 82% | 14/17 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 15/24 | 48% | 16/33 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 33/40 | 92% | 33/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 27/40 | 75% | 27/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rocha 1, Choinski 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rocha
🎾 All-Court
Choinski
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎾 All-Court vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 620 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 22, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 24, 2025
Lisbon Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
May 6, 2025
Prague Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rocha | Choinski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Henrique Rocha | Jan Choinski | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 28/28 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 6/12 | 96% | 27/28 |
| 5 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 71% | 20/28 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 25% | 7/28 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 7% | 2/28 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/28 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rocha | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–6 | 18–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.91 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | -7.4% | +5.7% |
| Units P/L | -0.96u | +1.53u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rocha | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 4 |
| Matches | 2 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 5,992 mi · 9,643 km |
| Route | MEX | GER → USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rocha has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs Choinski's 56%).
| Opponent | Rocha | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Pedro Boscardin Dias | W 61 62 | W 75 60 |
| Daniel Merida | W 76 63 | L 36 57 |
| Dusan Lajovic | W 64 75 | W 75 64 |
| Tom Gentzsch | W 76 76 | W 64 64 |
| Zsombor Piros | W 64 76 | W 76 76 |
| Roman Safiullin | L 75 67 26 | L 26 36 |
| Pablo Llamas Ruiz | L 64 36 16 | L 26 76 36 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | W 61 62 | L 46 67 |
| Frederico Ferreira Silva | W 62 63 | W 62 46 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Seongchan Hong
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Pedro Martinez
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 20
Damir Dzumhur
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 13
Nicolas Mejia
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Christopher O'Connell
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 15
Darwin Blanch
Ilkley Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Charles Broom
Ilkley Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 10
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jamie Mackenzie
Bonn Challenger · Final
Aug 2
Federico Agustin Gomez
Bonn Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Alex Barrena
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Francesco Passaro
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 62–78 matches
| Metric | Rocha | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 63% |
| Sets won | 59% | 58% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rocha | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rocha | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.