Hayato Matsuoka vs Taro DanielPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hayato Matsuoka and Taro Daniel have met 1 time since 2026; Taro Daniel leads 1–0. Across all meetings Matsuoka has taken 0 sets to Daniel's 2. Their most recent meeting: Taro Daniel won at Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Matsuoka | Daniel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hayato Matsuoka | Taro Daniel | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 36/50 | 73% | 29/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 11/31 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 25/81 | 31% | 19/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 26/47 | 60% | 15/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 16/30 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 10/25 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 39/47 | 83% | 35/42 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 36/47 | 69% | 29/42 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Matsuoka 0, Daniel 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Matsuoka
🏹 Frontrunner
Daniel
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,152 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 23, 2026
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Matsuoka | Daniel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hayato Matsuoka | Taro Daniel | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 10/16 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 5 or more | 38% | 6/16 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Matsuoka | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–6 | 10–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.06 | 1.73 |
| ROI % | +15.1% | +5.1% |
| Units P/L | +2.71u | +0.82u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Matsuoka | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 6 |
| Distance | 651 mi · 1,048 km | 2,283 mi · 3,674 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Daniel has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Matsuoka's 38%).
| Opponent | Matsuoka | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Shintaro Mochizuki | W 63 62 | L 62 26 26 |
| Jake Delaney | L 62 67 67 | W 63 64 |
| Matthew Dellavedova | W 63 61 | W 63 61 |
| Michael Mmoh | L 75 36 16 | L 64 46 36 |
| Rinky Hijikata | W 64 62 | L 36 76 26 |
| Tung-Lin Wu | L 36 67 | W 64 64 |
| Yasutaka Uchiyama | L 46 75 46 | W 75 57 62 |
| James Duckworth | L 16 46 | L 62 67 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
James McCabe
Jinan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 12
Qian Sun
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Taro Daniel
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Arthur Weber
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Lloyd Harris
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Jake Delaney
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Enzo Aguiard
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Aziz Dougaz
Astana Challenger · Final
Aug 16
Shintaro Mochizuki
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Fabian Marozsan
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Dane Sweeny
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Hayato Matsuoka
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Jake Delaney
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Marat Sharipov
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Matthew Dellavedova
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–81 matches
| Metric | Matsuoka | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 66% |
| Sets won | 59% | 62% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Matsuoka | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Matsuoka | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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