Hayato Matsuoka vs Takuya KumasakaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hayato Matsuoka and Takuya Kumasaka have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Matsuyama in 2025 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Matsuoka has taken 3 sets to Kumasaka's 2. Their most recent meeting: Hayato Matsuoka won at Astana Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Matsuoka | Kumasaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hayato Matsuoka | Takuya Kumasaka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 36/50 | 78% | 21/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 11/31 | 33% | 10/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 25/81 | 28% | 16/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 26/47 | 53% | 17/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 16/30 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 10/25 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 39/47 | 86% | 24/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 36/47 | 75% | 21/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Matsuoka 1, Kumasaka 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Matsuoka
🏹 Frontrunner
Kumasaka
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,152 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 12, 2026
Astana Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Nov 3, 2025
Matsuyama
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Matsuoka | Kumasaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hayato Matsuoka | Takuya Kumasaka | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 10/16 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 5 or more | 38% | 6/16 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Matsuoka | Kumasaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–6 | 3–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.06 | 2.35 |
| ROI % | +15.1% | -34.7% |
| Units P/L | +2.71u | -3.12u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Matsuoka | Kumasaka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 651 mi · 1,048 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Matsuoka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (88% vs Kumasaka's 50%).
| Opponent | Matsuoka | Kumasaka |
|---|---|---|
| Fajing Sun | W 75 75 | L 26 26 |
| Taiyo Yamanaka | W 63 75 | L 67 64 67 |
| Matthew Dellavedova | W 63 61 | W 36 62 62 |
| Cruz Hewitt | L 36 67 | W 75 61 |
| Omar Jasika | W 63 64 | W 75 64 |
| Kasidit Samrej | W 46 75 75 | L 26 16 |
| Rinky Hijikata | W 64 62 | L 26 06 |
| Matt Hulme | W 64 64 | W 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
James McCabe
Jinan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 12
Qian Sun
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Taro Daniel
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Arthur Weber
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Lloyd Harris
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Jake Delaney
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Enzo Aguiard
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Aziz Dougaz
Astana Challenger · Final
Aug 16
Martin Borisiouk
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Joshua Charlton
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Hayato Matsuoka
Astana Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Colin Sinclair
Astana Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Alexander Donski
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Florent Bax
Samsun Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Luka Pavlovic
Segovia Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Sergio Callejon Hernando
Segovia Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–81 matches
| Metric | Matsuoka | Kumasaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 48% |
| Sets won | 59% | 50% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Matsuoka | Kumasaka |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Matsuoka | Kumasaka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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