Hayato Matsuoka vs Takuya KumasakaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hayato Matsuoka and Takuya Kumasaka have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Matsuyama in 2025 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Matsuoka has taken 3 sets to Kumasaka's 2. Their most recent meeting: Hayato Matsuoka won at Astana Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Matsuoka | Kumasaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hayato Matsuoka | Takuya Kumasaka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 34/47 | 72% | 23/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 34% | 10/29 | 34% | 10/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 23/76 | 31% | 19/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 24/43 | 50% | 17/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 16/30 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 9/20 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 36/42 | 87% | 27/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 34/42 | 74% | 23/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Matsuoka 1, Kumasaka 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Matsuoka
🎾 All-Court
Kumasaka
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🎾 All-Court archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 682 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Hayato Matsuoka.
All-Court players often use tactical versatility and net approach ability to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 12, 2026
Astana Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Nov 3, 2025
Matsuyama
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Matsuoka | Kumasaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hayato Matsuoka | Takuya Kumasaka | ||
| 1 or more | 81% | 13/16 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 38% | 6/16 | 46% | 5/11 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 4/16 | 18% | 2/11 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Matsuoka | Kumasaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–7 | 6–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.73 | 2.03 |
| ROI % | +14.6% | -31.9% |
| Units P/L | +2.63u | -4.15u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Matsuoka | Kumasaka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 2,135 mi · 3,436 km |
| Route | KAZ | POL → KAZ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Matsuoka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (89% vs Kumasaka's 56%).
| Opponent | Matsuoka | Kumasaka |
|---|---|---|
| Fajing Sun | W 75 75 | L 26 26 |
| Taiyo Yamanaka | W 63 75 | L 67 64 67 |
| Matthew Dellavedova | W 63 61 | W 36 62 62 |
| Cruz Hewitt | L 36 67 | W 75 61 |
| Omar Jasika | W 63 64 | W 75 64 |
| Kasidit Samrej | W 46 75 75 | L 26 16 |
| Rinky Hijikata | W 64 62 | L 26 06 |
| Leo Vithoontien | W 62 64 | W 63 62 |
| Matt Hulme | W 64 64 | W 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aziz Dougaz
Astana Challenger · Final
Aug 16
Khumoun Sultanov
Astana Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 15
Fajing Sun
Astana Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Takuya Kumasaka
Astana Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Koki Matsuda
Astana Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 10
J.J. Wolf
Vancouver Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Shintaro Mochizuki
Vancouver Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Yosuke Watanuki
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Hayato Matsuoka
Astana Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Colin Sinclair
Astana Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Alexander Donski
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Florent Bax
Samsun Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Luka Pavlovic
Segovia Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Pavel Lagutin
Pozoblanco challenger
Jul 13
Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
Pozoblanco challenger
Jul 12
Robin Bertrand
M25 Roda de Bara · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 62–76 matches
| Metric | Matsuoka | Kumasaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 53% |
| Sets won | 59% | 53% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Matsuoka | Kumasaka |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Matsuoka | Kumasaka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.