Hayato Matsuoka vs Shintaro MochizukiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇯🇵Hayato Matsuoka
#250 · 21 yrs · R
5Title31 meeting · sets 2–0
🇯🇵Shintaro Mochizuki
#117 · 23 yrs · R
3Hayato Matsuoka and Shintaro Mochizuki have met 1 time since 2026; Hayato Matsuoka leads 1–0. Across all meetings Matsuoka has taken 2 sets to Mochizuki's 0. Their most recent meeting: Hayato Matsuoka won at Vancouver Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Matsuoka | Mochizuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hayato Matsuoka | Shintaro Mochizuki | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 34/47 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 34% | 10/29 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 23/76 | 43% | 21/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 24/43 | 30% | 7/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 16/30 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 9/20 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 36/42 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 34/42 | 52% | 11/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Matsuoka 1, Mochizuki 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Matsuoka
🎾 All-Court
Mochizuki
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 🎾 All-Court archetype wins about 58% vs 🧱 The Wall across 131 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Hayato Matsuoka.
All-Court players often use tactical versatility and net approach ability to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 30, 2026
Vancouver Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Matsuoka | Mochizuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hayato Matsuoka | Shintaro Mochizuki | ||
| 1 or more | 81% | 13/16 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 3 or more | 38% | 6/16 | 53% | 9/17 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 4/16 | 29% | 5/17 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Matsuoka | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–7 | 12–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.73 | 2.70 |
| ROI % | +14.6% | +17.4% |
| Units P/L | +2.63u | +3.47u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Matsuoka | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 145 mi · 233 km |
| Route | KAZ | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mochizuki has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Matsuoka's 50%).
| Opponent | Matsuoka | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Michelsen | L 16 46 | L 36 63 26 |
| Bernard Tomic | W 76 76 | W 61 64 |
| Keegan Smith | L 67 64 67 | W 36 63 64 |
| James McCabe | W 75 64 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aziz Dougaz
Astana Challenger · Final
Aug 16
Khumoun Sultanov
Astana Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 15
Fajing Sun
Astana Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Takuya Kumasaka
Astana Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Koki Matsuda
Astana Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 10
J.J. Wolf
Vancouver Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Shintaro Mochizuki
Vancouver Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Yosuke Watanuki
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Soon Woo Kwon
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Fabian Marozsan
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Hayato Matsuoka
Vancouver Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Charles Broom
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Liam Draxl
Winnipeg Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 25
Johannus Monday
Winnipeg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Duncan Chan
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Philip Sekulic
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 22
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–76 matches
| Metric | Matsuoka | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 40% |
| Sets won | 59% | 45% |
| Games won | 52% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Matsuoka | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Matsuoka | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.