Hayato Matsuoka vs James McCabePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hayato Matsuoka and James McCabe have met 3 times since 2025; Hayato Matsuoka leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Sydney Challenger in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Matsuoka leads 3–0. Matsuoka has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Matsuoka has taken 6 sets to McCabe's 0. Their most recent meeting: Hayato Matsuoka won at Jinan Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Matsuoka | McCabe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hayato Matsuoka | James McCabe | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 36/50 | 67% | 24/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 11/31 | 32% | 10/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 25/81 | 33% | 22/67 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 26/47 | 47% | 20/43 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 16/30 | 54% | 13/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 10/25 | 46% | 17/37 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 39/47 | 82% | 27/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 36/47 | 73% | 24/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Matsuoka 3, McCabe 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Matsuoka
🏹 Frontrunner
McCabe
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 1,115 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward James McCabe.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 12, 2026
Jinan Challenger
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
Mar 26, 2026
Yokkaichi Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Nov 22, 2025
Sydney Challenger
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Matsuoka | McCabe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hayato Matsuoka | James McCabe | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 10/16 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 5 or more | 38% | 6/16 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Matsuoka | McCabe |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–6 | 0–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.06 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | +15.1% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +2.71u | -7.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Matsuoka | McCabe |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 1 |
| Distance | 651 mi · 1,048 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 9 shared opponents, both Matsuoka and McCabe posted a 67% win rate.
| Opponent | Matsuoka | McCabe |
|---|---|---|
| Bernard Tomic | W 76 76 | L 67 46 |
| Hiroki Moriya | W 75 63 | W 64 63 |
| Masamichi Imamura | L 46 57 | W 64 76 |
| Tung-Lin Wu | L 36 67 | W 75 76 |
| Matthew Dellavedova | W 63 61 | W 62 67 63 |
| Cruz Hewitt | L 36 67 | L 63 36 67 |
| Matt Hulme | W 64 64 | W 75 67 63 |
| Marc Polmans | W 46 76 63 | W 62 76 |
| Rinky Hijikata | W 64 62 | L 67 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
James McCabe
Jinan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 12
Qian Sun
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Taro Daniel
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Arthur Weber
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Lloyd Harris
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Jake Delaney
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Enzo Aguiard
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Aziz Dougaz
Astana Challenger · Final
Aug 16
Hayato Matsuoka
Jinan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 12
Siddhant Banthia
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Federico Cina
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Lukas Neumayer
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Noah Zamora
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Dusan Lajovic
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Bolt
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 25
Duncan Chan
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 67–81 matches
| Metric | Matsuoka | McCabe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 54% |
| Sets won | 59% | 53% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Matsuoka | McCabe |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Matsuoka | McCabe |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
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